Yep, if I *had* to bet on it, I'd assume up today, simply cos the futures are nearer the resistance than the support. And the fact that yesterday's range was a nr4 suggests good moves today...Wouldnt trade on it tho, until and unless a level is penetrated with conviction. So, not predicting, just observing! Am always open to new ideas - the only reason we flame Oddi is that (a) its fun (b) he came on so strong. Serves him right. If you would care to explain exactly which bits of MM u DO find useful, and how you use them to make money, I'm sure there are many people on the boards who would be *very* interested. My fumblings with support & resistance are so well known that there would be no point repeating them... Best of luck 2day, Lets go to work.
"furthermore, my testing of the mm method indicates it works as well as ANY combination of equidistant horizontal lines placed on a price/time chart. there is nothing special about the murrey distance, and the circles of conflict have zero relevance to anything." I always find that the best combination of eqidistant lines (at leas on the sp) are the price markers at half point intervals. Absolutely *incredible* how often price moves thru, over or past or hovers near them.... arf!
Fun day, everything as expected. Selling half of spx calls just before the close here (nice profits - and discipline is important to lock in what the market was willing to give). Trying to ride the second half tomorrow.
Wappers: No, it would actually be nice if you talked about how you trade "floor pivots." Everyone has heard about S1, S2, etc. Very few know how to use them consistently and profitably. I for one, don't and I'm looking forward to learning. P.S. There's a myriad of services calculating their own pivots S/R and selling the numbers. As far as I know none of those services tell you how to trade these numbers.
U r joking, right?... No? OK. Everyone knows where a bunch of basic numbers are. Yesterday's high, low, close, the pivot, support1, resistance1, s2, r2, s3, r3, significant whole numbers (eg '900'), last 3 months high low, fibbos etc etc etc etc. The pivot calcs are standard and very easy (allegedly they originated with floor traders who wanted some kind of easy calc to predict likely ranges the next day...). Anyway, the market is always hunting for value. When it finds it (i.e. agreement between buyers/sellers) it lurks for a while ('congestion' anybody?). If it is in basic balance, it tends to rotate between support and resistance all day long. This is usually interpreted as floor traders trying to scalp a buck or two. Depending on volatility, the pivot and s1 could mark the general range, or r1 to s1 etc. You can see it bouncing off these numbers *very* often. eg yesterday, it roared up to test the r1 number (886 and a bit). It was rejected, and fell all the way down to the previous day's low, which marked the range. For the rest of the day it rotated between that support and the pivot. Until the eod, when it finally penetrated the r1 level, and then clawed up to the yesterday's high. I like it when it penetrates a significant level. Like yesterday, I really couldnt be bothered to trade the rotation, and waited for the breakout upwards thr the r1 number. Only grabbed a couple of points, and misses 4 times up and down in a 4 point range, but hey, I sleep at night! Sorry this is so brief, but off to Nice 2day, gotta pack etc.