Mueller submits report to AG Barr

Discussion in 'Politics' started by WeToddDid2, Mar 22, 2019.

  1. Tom B

    Tom B

  2. traderob

    traderob

    From the Australian

    March 28, 2019
    Trump’s been boosted by good fortune, but there are traces of genius[​IMG]GREG SHERIDAN
    [​IMG]
    Donald Trump: master of the improbable. Picture: AFP


    It is tempting to say Donald Trump is a lucky politician. And there is some truth in this. His margin of victory in the 2016 presidential election was so slender in the critical midwest states he won that no one could have predicted it. And no one did, including Trump’s own campaign.

    Like most lucky generals Trump also has a big hand in making his own luck. He and his campaign chose the key battleground states that could just conceivably deliver him the presidency and he out-campaigned Hillary Clinton in all of them. To win all of them so narrowly is statistically astonishingly improbable, but Trump is the master of the improbable.

    Similarly, one reason Trump has an excellent chance of re-election is that the recession the US seems to be heading for could come after the 2020 presidential election. In any event it should be quite mild. The yield curve inversion indicates it’s coming but there are no massive structural imbalances in the US economy.

    Here again, Trump has made a lot of his own luck. I don’t mean the tax cuts and business deregulation that have helped spur the US economy on. They are big policy commitments and should yield long-term growth dividends. I mean instead the way Trump has bullied the Federal Reserve into keeping interest rates low. He is not the first political leader to make cyclical economic policy serve political timetables.


    But nothing so perfectly embodies the fusion of Trump’s luck with the undeniable trace of political genius — it’s not too strong a word — that is emerging in Trump as the report of the independent counsel Robert Mueller into allegations of criminal collusion during the 2016 campaign between Trump and Russia.

    The element of luck is not Mueller finding no collusion. That, presumably, just reflects reality. The element of luck is the way most of Trump’s enemies, in the Democratic Party and in large slabs of the media, so wildly, insanely, overhyped everything to do with the Russia collusion idea.

    Trump is immensely lucky in his enemies. But he creates his own fortune because he drives his enemies crazy. As a result they exercise appalling judgment in their attacks.

    I think as President, Trump is a mixed grill. He is a better president than I thought he would be. During the election campaign I followed the debate about whether they should support Trump in a number of US Christian journals. It was a conscientious and serious debate. They recognised Trump was not one of them and would certainly not lead America’s moral revival. But they faced a binary choice: Trump or Clinton. Clinton, they felt, would appoint Supreme Court judges who would abridge their religious freedom and she would support social programs and values they opposed. So most backed Trump, with reservations.

    He has delivered good outcomes and bad outcomes. Among the good are four of particular consequence. One is excellent Supreme Court justices and similarly good choices across all the federal courts to which the president can appoint judges. Two is tax cuts and business deregulation. Three is increased defence spending. Four is calling out China on trade and other malpractice, though this could have a bad effect on Australia if a US-China deal results in Beijing buying commodities from the US it would otherwise buy from us.

    Democrats, and Trump’s opponents generally, have had relatively little to say on these issues. Instead they’ve concentrated on Trump’s obvious character flaws and the equally obviously seedy nature of some of his associates. Because Trump’s very existence as President contradicts everything they think and, more importantly, feel, they have invested in and created all kinds of crazy conspiracy theories against Trump.

    I have come to the view that the independent counsel institution is a corruption of due process that almost always does more harm than good. The Mueller investigation was set up in the hysterical atmosphere that followed Trump’s sacking of James Comey as FBI director. The instant conspiracy interpretation was that Trump sacked Comey because Comey was too vigorously investigating allegations of collusion between Trump and Russia.

    It turns out, according to Mueller, there was no such collusion. This takes the wind out of the sails of all Trump’s critics. And because so much of what the Trump critics said was so overblown, so ridiculous, so extravagant and now we can say plainly so wrong, even the credible criticisms they make of him can now be discredited.

    This was already so for Trump’s supporters, who won’t hear a word against him. But Mueller had a lot of credibility with independent voters. In his re-election bid, Trump will need some independent voters to add to his base. The Mueller exoneration means it should be much easier for Trump to sell his re-election message to those independents.

    Those who think independent counsels are a good thing in general, and Mueller was especially good, will point to the numerous convictions or confessions Mueller obtained. But these fall entirely into two categories. The first, and most pernicious, are process convictions. Mueller has convicted some people and charged others with lying to him. In other words these are alleged crimes that would not have been committed if Mueller’s inquiry had not been called into existence.

    The second category of convictions are for tax avoidance and the like among Trump associates, at times when they had nothing to do with Trump’s presidency.

    There are some allegations against Trump, such as his paying hush money to a woman he had an affair with, that are simply not grave enough to threaten any presidency. This precedent was established when Democrats forgave Bill Clinton for lying under oath because he was “only” lying about an affair.

    Bob Woodward’s book Fear is much more balanced about Trump than its critics allow and is sharply critical of the disrespectful, clumsy and partisan way some of the intelligence agencies dealt with Trump. A former CIA boss, John Brennan, accused Trump of “treason”. Brennan now looks a complete fool. Polls do not show these collusion issues rank seriously with voters. If Democrats focus on them they will strengthen Trump. That Mueller could not find sufficient evidence for even so elastic a charge as obstruction of justice, but nonetheless apparently makes some negative comments about Trump anyway, just shows how dysfunctional the independent counsel mechanism is. If it’s not indictable, it’s up to the political system to sort out, not unelected officials.

    This is an enormous win for Trump. The next election is unpredictable, but I put Trump slightly better than even-money odds.

    GREG SHERIDAN
    FOREIGN EDITOR
    Greg Sheridan, The Australian's foreign editor, is one of the nation's most influential national security commentators, who
     
    #223     Mar 27, 2019
  3. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

  4. elderado

    elderado

     
    #225     Mar 28, 2019
  5. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    #226     Mar 28, 2019
  6. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    The Democrat's biggest threat are the independent voters in the U.S., who represent 40% of the voting population, being so disgusted with the Democratic collusion shenanigans that they wholesale vote for Trump in 2020 to send a message.
     
    #227     Mar 28, 2019
    DTB2 and athlonmank8 like this.
  7. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    Thats some wishful thinking considering Dems won the popular vote in 6 of the last 7 elections and Trump lost by 3 million votes in 2016 and 10 million votes in 2018.

    Trump has 39% average 1st term approval rating,the people being more disgusted with him is far more likley.
     
    #228     Mar 28, 2019
  8. TJustice

    TJustice

    Trump will have the power of incumbent, the bully pulpit and probably a billion dollars to spend.

    Plus...I bet right now... he is working and a program so good... the minority vote will get peeled off.

    I would couple... the wall, a tariff and a massive inner city jobs program which hires everyone without having to face a benefit cliff.

    Put America Back to Work... again.
    PABWA with
    PICBWA... Inner City

    Free health care and benefit vouchers for anyone in the program so companies don't have to pay them. And the benefits scale out slowly as pay goes up. No benefit cliffs.

    Imagine democrats trying to vote that down.
    I shut most of the govt down for that...
     
    #229     Mar 28, 2019
  9. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Lol!!!

    Screenshot_2019-03-28-14-22-54.png




    https://www.usnews.com/news/politic...-to-the-polls-to-choose-democrats?context=amp

    Trump Drove Black Voters to the Polls – to Choose Democrats

    Susan Milligan • Nov. 19, 2018, at 3:40 p.m.

    He's no Barack Obama. But President Donald Trump is having his own motivating effect on African-American voters, who overwhelmingly cast votes for Democrats in this month's midterms – in large part because of the damage Trump has done to the GOP brand, according to pollsters who surveyed African-Americans immediately before the elections.

    Nine out of 10 African-Americans surveyed on the eve of the election said they werevoting or had already voted early for aDemocrat in the congressional races, up from 77 percent who said so in July, according to the survey by the African American Research Collaborative. And while a number of GOPcandidates distanced themselves from their party's controversial leader or just tried to ignore him, polling showed Trump might as well have been on the ballot himself, the survey indicated.

    Nearly 8 in 10 African-Americans said Trump made them "angry," while 85 percent of black women and 81 percent of black men said Trump made them feel "disrespected," according to the study. Similar majorities of African-American voters – 89 percent of women and 83 percent of men – said Trump's statements and policies will cause "a major setback to racial progress."

    That Trump effect filtered down to damage even candidates in the Northeast and California, where the GOP contenders did not necessarily align with the president, and may have affected other ballot choices as well, Henry Fernandez, a principal at the collaborative, told reporters in a conference call. "African-American voters and other voters of color are associating Trumpism with all Republican candidates," Watkins said. "Even with Trump not being in the ballot, Trumpism was effectively on the ballot. The entire party has now been branded," he said.


    Black women – who were integral in the narrow upset victory by Democratic Sen. Doug Jones of Alabama last December – also played an outsized role in electing Democrats in the midterms, said Ray Block, a political science professor at the University of Kentucky, assessing the poll. African-American women were more likely than black men to vote for the Democrat, by a 94 percent to 84 percent difference, according to the poll. In the Nevada Senate race specifically, for example, 93 percent of African-Americans voted for Democratic Sen.-elect Jacky Rosen. The same percentage voted for Democratic gubernatorial nominee Stacey Abrams in Georgia – not enough to make her the Peach State's first female African-American governor but enough to show the potential power of the black vote, Block told reporters.

    "It's not simply women voting for women," he said. "Anger and disrespect, I believe, are motivators for black turnout."


    African-Americans have long been a reliable Democratic vote. But turnout has been uneven, arguably making the difference in the 2008, 2012 and the 2016 elections. A record two-thirds of African-American voters showed up at the polls in 2012 to re-elect the nation's first black president, according to the Pew Research Center. In 2016, African-American turnout declined for the first time in a presidential election in 20 years, to 59.6. Political analysts and pollsters attributed the drop to Obama's absence from the ballot – and the decline may well have made the difference for losing Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, whom critics charge had taken the African-American vote for granted.

    Monday's poll showed that Democrats have made some improvements and are still ahead of the GOP in terms of appealing to African-American voters. The study showed that 72 percent felt Democrats were doing a good job reaching out to African-Americans – up from 56 percent in the July poll, and demonstrably better than the 12 percent who feel that way now about the GOP. Fifteen percent said in July that Republicans were doing a good job reaching out to blacks.


    Derrick Johnson, president of the NAACP, said the nation will not be a true democracy until both political parties engage and value the votes of African-Americans and other minority populations. But those communities have work to do as well, he said.

    "It's not incumbent on politicians to appeal to a community," Johnson said in the conference call. "It's incumbent on the communities to define the agenda of the party
     
    Last edited: Mar 28, 2019
    #230     Mar 28, 2019