MSTR Discussion

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by SimbasPryde, Oct 8, 2024.

  1. Luckily there is always a V ready to shove it back and stop all selling.
     
    #291     Nov 22, 2024
  2. johnarb

    johnarb

    upload_2024-11-23_13-25-5.png
     
    #292     Nov 23, 2024
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  3. nitrene

    nitrene

    Mohammed El-Arian who used to be the head of Allianz (I think he is the head of Oxford or Cambridge, I believe) always said that Bitcoin was a liquidity sponge. A pure risk-on instrument.

    I wonder why the FOSS tweet spelled everything correctly except for the word bot instead of bought?
     
    #293     Nov 23, 2024
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  4. johnarb

    johnarb

    Greg Foss is a retired bond trader (30 years) now a full time bitcoiner, maybe nothing or maybe intentional

    The original msr convertible debt size was $1.7B, and was increased to $2.6B due to too much demand, and with $400M extra, finally got to $3B oversubscribed

    Finding out Allianz took 25%, I mean what kind of aggressive push did they do to get that much out of the pie? Crazy
     
    #294     Nov 23, 2024
  5. Sprout

    Sprout

    That Grain of Salt dude has been killing it with his options trades
     
    #295     Nov 23, 2024
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  6. johnarb

    johnarb

    He and his crew have been doing the mstr trades since last cycle and on one of the Twitter spaces, he mentioned he was (and probably still is) the biggest individual (retail?) provider of mstr shares to the borrowers (shorts), Fidelity would contact him directly

    He somehow was able to use the information to get out near the top of the last cycle... made "generational wealth"

    On the episode 6(?) of QuantBros true north, he mentioned he does not know all the greek complexities of options

    He telegraphs the options buys a day or 2 on Twitter, which best I could see is just selling the lower options strikes and smash buying the highest options strikes that just opened

    I think he's been buying the 960's or even above 1000 strikes, I haven't looked at what had been opened recently

    9 figures worth of options mostly in retirement accounts non-taxable trades, he will be a billionaire at the end of this cycle

    Climb the Ladder is a younger fellow (I think), turned $200k to over $30M (so far $34M account screenshot) in the latest run up

    I personally enjoy the Joshman videos, so calm, so down to earth, midwestern or southern accent, ex-Solomon Brothers bond trader

    All of the above traders seem to understand the existential risks, everyone as far as I can tell are playing with house money aka profits, and have secured the bag plus taxes, do not risk the base

    upload_2024-11-24_12-35-0.png


     
    Last edited: Nov 24, 2024
    #296     Nov 23, 2024
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  7. Sprout

    Sprout

    Didn’t know about these other guys, thank you
     
    #297     Nov 24, 2024
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  8. Sprout

    Sprout

    Leveling up my learning.
    @johnarb any other resources come to mind that you haven’t shared already in this thread?



    my primary MSTR feed is the list
    ”Irresponsibly Long $MSTR”
     
    #298     Nov 24, 2024
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  9. johnarb

    johnarb

    Wow, first time I've seen that tweet with all the mstr resources, thank you!

    I'm not short-term trading mstr or mstr options,

    pretty much the news and development are noise to me to some degree, but in many ways signal of my long term mstr trade thesis progression

    I've been bullish on mstr since I purchased the leaps during the bear market (6/22) that gave me profits to play the early 2024 mstr run up

    and I started the thread asymmetric risk-reward trade mstr, a 2-part parlay $160k to $10M

    The key which is playing out nicely now (it was very negative m2m for many months ) is the 1st part utilize the bull market to cashout fiat 2nd half of next year

    Afterwards, purchase 1,000 shares (will be split-adjusted if any occurs) and hodl for 5-10 years until worth $10M

    I watch the QuantBros on youtube and , Tim's channel

    I posted 3 years ago the video from Blockworks discussing mstr which got me orange-pilled on mstr, the discussion is still valid even after 3 years

    I can post it again, if you have not seen it

    [on-topic, I put a short-term options position last week during the major dip, just too much excitement I'm missnt out on Jan2025 calls 600]
     
    #299     Nov 24, 2024
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  10. Sprout

    Sprout

    I have not. I started building a position in MSTR when it was < $100.

    Wish I was more aggressive.

    On another note, it’s interesting that Vanguard (definitely not orange pilled) has built this position in MSTR



    I’ll check out the other thread, thank you.
     
    #300     Nov 24, 2024
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