Moving Average Crossover Trading

Discussion in 'Journals' started by smallStops, Sep 19, 2014.

  1. WOW So much EXTREMELY comments full of real market understanding.
    I guess everybody at a time or another had a go at "moving average" and had some question.

    I will be going for 100 moving average. So that's one parameter sorted.
    Now, I will only bother with Timeframes.

    Interestingly, being advised to only for "trend trades". OK : the less thinking the better.

    * The trade managements : some is suggesting a tiny size to enter position, and I guess to pyramid later on
    and ride the trend. OK: anything that reduces the amount of "efforts" is something I am looking for.
    * Someone suggested that for the stop, if a trend is caught, to simply move the stops along the trend :
    OK that sounds not too much efforts. Not going for taking early orfits and letting things run: maximize efforts
    * Some are wondering about multi-time frames : higher time frame determining the trend. OK that is not too much
    efforts. So higher time Frames will determine the trade direction.


    => Some are wondering about how to determine the end of the trend? or how to distinguish a trend from a consolidation ?
    what about whipsaws?

    That's a lot done so far.
    Writing this plan and the questions to find inspiration while lazying around. :D
    Making life much easier - including trading.
     
    #21     Sep 28, 2014
  2. Redneck

    Redneck



    Interesting phenomena

    In getting here – I tried everything under the sun – and couldn’t make any of it work for shit

    Now here – everything under the sun works – but none of it required


    Things that make me LMAO at my own ignorance

    RN
     
    #22     Sep 28, 2014
    sowterdad and Turveyd like this.
  3. Turveyd

    Turveyd


    Many years ago, everything failed, these days everything works to a degree, there is no substitute for experience, finding something that works enough is key here for me at the moment.
     
    #23     Sep 28, 2014
  4. Why don't you at least try the moving averages that actually may work like the one documented on ET by JH. This is his most simple system. He was able to change the values in the moving average indicator to make them predict the future of price movement. However, while I just gave you the most simple solution I did not give you the lazy solution. If you actually want to make money, you now need to go search through ET and find these values.
     
    #24     Sep 28, 2014
  5. Haven't seen that but I was researching MACD-H and came across a JH post with different settings.

    They work better than the standard ones from Gerald Appel.
     
    #25     Sep 28, 2014
  6. panzerman

    panzerman

    Bullshit, the future cannot be predicted with anything greater than 50% precision.
     
    #26     Sep 29, 2014
  7. It is thus clear that "moving average crossover" is well known among traders. :):):)
    Yep, every method does work.

    Jack Hershey : I would really love to read all his posts, but just now I am at a laziness stage,
    and I think he himself stated that to understand him, one needs to work hard on his writing. :eek: :eek: :eek:
    So I'll pass. :D

    Some are talking about backtesting the "moving average crossover".
    I nearly got sick at the thought of the amount of efforts that would require.:eek::eek::eek::eek::eek::eek:
    Then it occured to me that many traders have certainly backtested it , including
    many sophisticated operations ( HF, Banks, etc...), so why redo the work? ;)

    Just now, I am searching for a youngster who will put in daily the moving averages on the screen,
    determine the higher time frames so as to get the direction.
    All about reducing the amount of work for myself.

    My big question is the timeframe, and how to know if I should pass the trade, or take it.
    As I am super lazy, I absolutely do not want to take every touch of the 100 moving average.
    That would be far too much work, all the more that the forex platform I am using contains 24pairs.

    So more time to rest before the effort. Definition of Laziness. :D :D :D
     
    #27     Oct 1, 2014
  8. Turveyd

    Turveyd

    Incorrect, the future can not be predicted AT ALL!

    But, if more people are buying than selling then the odds are that will for a while continue, which creates momentum, which you can use to jump on, then back off again and make some profit, no prediction required.

    Fairly sure he was just being errmmm sarcastic LOL
     
    #28     Oct 1, 2014
  9. sowterdad

    sowterdad

    I so agree! i suggest Instead of bothering to go through any process,, simply go to the next step and just have the profit checks sent directly to the house weekly and avoid all that bothersome updating of the account! LOL- be like Bill Gates and be sure to share the Wealth as it rolls in! Made my Hump Day!
     
    #29     Oct 1, 2014
  10. For those that say the future can not be predicted, feel free to check out trading tracking websites for proof. They have some systems that have a win% higher than 90% for over a year and thousands of trades. So far knock on wood I have not had a losing day this week with real money. I don't understand why these trolls show up to an Elite trading website and post crap about the future can not be predicted. It's plain silly. The truth is trading is much is easier to predict than playing poker. In trading for example, you need the patience to wait till you have aces, and then risk a small amount of your real money to see if you were right. Then repeat. I used to play limit poker in the casino. I would wait till I had a good hand, and bet. I kept folding for example crap hands like 2 7 off suit. The problem is with limit poker, you have to ante every hand. With trading you can wait all day if you like. I usually try to trade just once to twice per day. As someone said in a trading book, if you can just make 1 ES point per day consistently, you can make $ 250,000 per year in profit.
     
    #30     Oct 1, 2014
    K-Rock likes this.