In a world flooded with junk and pseudo science... Here is a widely circulated piece... That links VAT massacre to Taleb's theories: http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion...,1764076.column?coll=la-news-comment-opinions IMO, this kind of speculation is silly... Especially considering that Taleb's main prediction appears to be FALSE. >>> Just as there will be fewer but bigger bestsellers, Taleb argues... So there may also be "fewer but bigger crises" in the realms of finance and geopolitics. >>> The above has NOT in any way been proven true... By market action or geopolitics... In fact... Computer driven market efficiency... Has so far DISPROVEN Taleb's prediction... With market volatilities stuck at all time lows. Beware obsessive people and one trick ponies... Whether they are obsessed with "Black Swans" or anything else.