MON

Discussion in 'Options' started by oldnemesis, Sep 15, 2016.

  1. Last edited: Sep 15, 2016
  2. If I heard Cramer correctly he "doesn't think it's gonna close".
    Ouch.
    I promised a trade but my heart isn't in it

    Trade:
    With MON at 104.70
    April '17 80/75 bull put spread for a net credit of $30
    Yield = 30/470 = 6.4% in 218 days or 10.7% annualized
    Prob = 98%
    expectation = .98(30) - .01(470) - .01(235) = 29.4 - 4.7 - 2.4 = 22.3

    Price.......... Profit / Loss........ ROM %
    55.00............. (475.00)........... -95.00%
    70.00............. (475.00)........... -95.00%
    75.00............. (475.00)........... -95.00%
    79.75.................. 0.00............... 0.00%
    80.00................. 25.00.............. 6.40%
    85.00................. 25.00.............. 6.40%
    100.00............... 25.00.............. 6.40%
    115.00............... 25.00.............. 6.40%
    130.87............... 25.00.............. 6.4%
     
    Last edited: Sep 15, 2016
    darwin666 likes this.
  3. thanks . u r very conservative...
    mANY folks WONT like such low ROI.. haha ... 10% annualized but little do they realize.
    money markets only generate .5 to 1% annual

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