Modern Day Hyperinflation

Discussion in 'Economics' started by zdreg, Feb 18, 2024.

Is hyperinflation coming to the US in the next 8 years?

  1. Yes

    6 vote(s)
    35.3%
  2. No

    10 vote(s)
    58.8%
  3. ET goes behind a firewall and charges people

    2 vote(s)
    11.8%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. Inflation-adjusted, median US household income grew from 66k in 1990 to 71k in 2022 (https://www.statista.com/statistics/200838/median-household-income-in-the-united-states/). In nominal dollars (i.e. unadjusted for inflation), the median income in 1994 was ~30k and is 74k in 2023 (https://dqydj.com/household-income-by-year/), a growth rate of a bit over 3% so you can still afford your soap :D at double the price.
     
    #31     Feb 18, 2024
  2. tomkat22

    tomkat22

    The major bone I have to pick is the metrics they use to measure inflation. They're bullshit and dont reflect what I see in my wallet. 2.4% inflation is a joke,in the real world it's way higher than that.
     
    #32     Feb 18, 2024
    birdman likes this.
  3. Well, what exactly is the problem do you have with the methdology? Is it the basket contents (e.g. you drink more beer), is it the substitution/replacement aspect, do you think something is missing?
     
    #33     Feb 18, 2024
  4. tomkat22

    tomkat22

    I'm speaking anecdotally from 67 years of living and spending. Even the government admits they do the best they can on those stats but dont quite "get it right". (that's an understatement.)
     
    #34     Feb 18, 2024
  5. I'd venture that your consumption basket has changed over the years. Mine certainly did - less beer, more dog food.

    It's a hard problem and there is no perfect solution. The best comparison is that CPI is like trying to measure average blood pressure in a large hospital - between the morgue and the cardiovascular ward, the BP is perfectly normal. But intuitively 2-3 percent per year feels right unless you're very poor (it feels higher), loaded with education costs (feels much higher) or buy a lot of technology (feels much lower).
     
    #35     Feb 18, 2024
  6. Quanto

    Quanto

    The US needs to change its such wrong politics against these countries.
    Otherwise rivals will make use of it, ie. profit from it...
     
    #36     Feb 19, 2024
  7. ironchef

    ironchef

    Like Trump tried with Kim Jung Un and Putin?
     
    #37     Feb 19, 2024
  8. ironchef

    ironchef

    True but statistic (median) is misleading. The gap between high and low income is now like the Grand Canyon.

    The better half of the median are making out like bandits.

    I feel sorry for the bottom, many ended up on the street, homeless.

    As a trader I produce nothing of real value, yet I make way more $ now than when I had my day job, producing something society needed. Something is not quite right.
     
    #38     Feb 19, 2024
    VPhantom likes this.
  9. Quanto

    Quanto

    Are you already over the 1M benchmark? :)
    I'll need at least 2+ more years... :-(
     
    #39     Feb 19, 2024
  10. ironchef

    ironchef

    :D
     
    #40     Feb 19, 2024
    Quanto likes this.