Minimal Effort Returns - Algo Based

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Spectre2007, Jan 28, 2017.

  1. Derivative 5 - British Pound

    2012

    -11.8 -25

    2013

    2.9 -12

    2014

    5.9 -9

    2015

    -9.3 -16

    2016

    -29.5 -42
     
    #11     Jan 29, 2017
  2. progress.png

    was getting pretty discouraged, with copper and british pound numbers.. but on the whole returns look decent.
     
    #12     Jan 29, 2017
  3. Going to add the short end of the yield curve. What I am seeing so far, profit targets needed to be adjusted to price variance (wave highs/lows). Otherwise profit targets don't end up getting hit. I had to cut TP for 2 year notes to $250 since dollar variance is minimal compared to 30 year bond ($5000).
     
    Last edited: Jan 29, 2017
    #13     Jan 29, 2017
  4. Derivative 6 - 2 year notes

    2012

    -1.4 -5

    2013

    -2.4 -3

    2014

    1.3 -1.6

    2015

    .7 -2.2

    2016

    4.2 -1.25

    Derivative 7 - 10 year notes

    2012

    4.5 -9

    2013

    -6.1 -25

    2014

    4.8 -8.2

    2015

    -11.2 -16

    2016


    13.3 -3.9

    On the whole positive, profit target for 10 years was $2,000
     
    #14     Jan 29, 2017
  5. returns.png
     
    #15     Jan 29, 2017
  6. dual MA.png

    dual moving average system, wanted to see what would happen if I took the same 350K and applied it into this system.
     
    #16     Jan 29, 2017
  7. if I cut the margin requirement to 25K per contract from 50K

    marginhalfed.png
     
    #17     Jan 29, 2017
  8. 5 year note yields were yielding .9% in 2012..park the remaining 175K till maturity or take the 175K add a additional contract for each signal.

    if invested in SPY, 350K.. 2665 shares @ 131 in 2012 would have yielded a profit of 261K.. to bring balance to 611K.

    Investing in AAPL in 2012 would have doubled the money to 700K.
     
    Last edited: Jan 29, 2017
    #18     Jan 29, 2017
  9. annualrate.png
     
    #19     Jan 29, 2017
  10. hindsight.png SPY

    spyreturn.png

    the above return is in hindsight.. the running 5 year return on SPY in 2012 was -1.45% secondary to market crash..
     
    Last edited: Jan 29, 2017
    #20     Jan 29, 2017