Mindsets of Successful Traders

Discussion in 'Psychology' started by Frederick Foresight, Jul 6, 2025 at 10:55 AM.

  1. I made Dodgers starting pitcher monies in 2019-2021. I've not been able to replicate the gains on notional for a variety of reasons (taxes, vola, etc), but I know that I was beginning to run into capacity issues in most of my stuff.

    I had to move into new edges as a result but the point of this post is that I know more now than I did then but the difference was that I had a clearly defined goal to meet. My Sharpe is higher now, FWIW. I have a vol-strat with a Sharpe >6.
     
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  2. Only TOS uses it.
     
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  3. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    You got hacked by @spy ?
     

  4. 6 is conservative. I don't short puts outright (outside of the IRA).
     
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  5. deaddog

    deaddog

    The strategy is to set your exit at 5R. Enter with a bracket order and wait for the outcome.
    It helps to trade momo stocks.
     
  6. I know that’s how some people may do it, but it seems more like wishful thinking than an informed calculation. Besides, if it’s still going in the intended direction, why exit?
     
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  7. deaddog

    deaddog

    Because that's your plan. 5:1.
    Not my strategy but would work for those with patience who don't want the hassle of managing a trade. I might be better off if I followed it. :)
     
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  8. PTJ defining his edge at 5X just offers him a mechanical out. How.many L/S funds are sitting on 50-baggers? Where would they be if they were STC at 5X?

    Professionals use vol as a trigger (say skew) and as an exit parm.
     
  9. If you're in a DRR (defined risk reversal) at 4X then you're out at 7/2 marked as the remaining 50 beeps is trivial. Can't do that with D1 outside of say gamma swaps (but that's marked against you).
     
  10. Not mine either. A long time ago, when I traded with larger protective stops, I did something like that. But not quite at 5x. The market came reasonably close but it still didn’t reach the intended target so I held. I didn’t even tighten the stop to BE. It reversed and I lost the full amount I originally risked, plus slippage. I can’t explain why I was so dense and wooden. Early days, and a misinterpretation of discipline. Doofuses will doofus.

    I guess that’s one of the reasons I look at how the trade is acting in real time rather than impose an arguably arbitrary target. I don’t know if that’s the right thing to do, but it’s what I’m most comfortable with.
     
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