Midnight rally

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Rickshaw Man, Mar 24, 2005.

  1. Overnight

    Overnight

    Well pffht, didn't take the profits before the open, and so drew down 120ish points or so. Now getting back to BE. So a one day-delay on the non-risk free $$$ zero.

    Core retail sales were great, but apparently that PPI print scared the bejeezus out of some algos.
     
    #1081     Feb 17, 2021
  2. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Rates rising. Economy coming back. FED still has pedal to the metal but Wall Street is starting to anticipate the pedal being eeeeased off a touch.
     
    #1082     Feb 17, 2021
  3. Overnight

    Overnight

    Let's see how Asia responds, now that China is back open for business. I'm getting a good feeling for longs after that drop.
     
    #1083     Feb 17, 2021
  4. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Could be. Hang Seng has been bullish of late and globex has been overall positive so far tonight:-
    HSI.png
     
    #1084     Feb 17, 2021
  5. Overnight

    Overnight

    Well, as we can see, it didn't go so well. And tonight's action is looking like a repeat of last night. *Le sigh* Oh well. Swings are my life. No big whoop. I've got swing balls as big as church bells by now. Lord knows I've earned them. So COME ON CORRECTION! BRING IT ON! Free risk $$$ zero!

     
    #1085     Feb 18, 2021
    SunTrader likes this.
  6. Still holding this? If so, you took approximately 65 points of heat on this trade.

    Like I said before - this method only works if you're willing to sit through deep drawdowns and if you don't compound your profits. If you doubled your stake after taking those 90 points, i.e., compounding, you would have wiped out your profits and then some by now.

    Essentially this method is only profiting from the long term trend going higher in the stock market. By closing it out on the Open you're missing the gains in RTH, too.

    Buying pullbacks would probably be more effective.

    The OP comes with some false claims about the market opening gap up 85 % of the time which simply isn't true. There's a positive skew, but it's more like 60 %.
     
    #1086     Feb 19, 2021
    SunTrader likes this.
  7. I knew it wouldn't take long for the overnight rally to continue.

    Oh look the stock index futures are up overnight...SHOCKER!

    Making free money while you sleep is so easy a cave man can do it $$$$$$$

    index futures 2.19.21   7.35 am cst.jpg
     
    #1087     Feb 19, 2021
    fan27 likes this.
  8. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Posting quotes screen is making money these days. That is a shocker.
     
    #1088     Feb 19, 2021
  9. fan27

    fan27

    There are some simple strategies I use to take advantage of the positive skew, but they do not involve buying the close and selling the open.
     
    Last edited: Feb 19, 2021
    #1089     Feb 19, 2021
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  10. Overnight

    Overnight

    Rickshaw Man never posts a screenshot with red it in! Shocker! Same thing over and over again. Free money while we sleep, until a Monday morning hits which wipes all the previous week's gain! Shocker!
     
    #1090     Feb 22, 2021
    comagnum likes this.