Matcha's Dow E-mini Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Matcha, May 13, 2010.

  1. Matcha

    Matcha

    No position today. After taking so many fake breakout trades last week, today I became extra extra cautious. Because of hesitations, I missed 2 entries; I decided not to chase them to avoid entering at bad locations. They were marked on the chart. I will try to be as detailed as possible to write down my thought process and trade from today, so I can receive more insights from sifu and every experienced trader here.

    This morning’s prep: market trading in a range over night, open slightly sold off, Fedex took guidance up, price broke out last Friday, $TRIN opened and traded below 0.8. Anticipated either a range day or a breakout day. Be aware of the 10530 level as resistant level(6/22 high). Only take long trades.

    Circle #1: Missed the entry, the main reason to be so hesitated is it’s too close to YTD high(green dotty line). I am afraid of buying at the Resistant level, besides housing data is announcing at 7:00, If it’s negative, it would came back and hit the stop. So I planed to take pullback trade after it retraced back to YTD’s high. But pullback never happened, so I missed the move.

    I didn’t take the trade at grey box too, because it’s obviously a 3rd wave on 5 min, this is another day of the “2stage run day” and a bear flag day. The last run would work, but the profit is too small.

    After the morning run, I thought today could be the “midday mush” ,:p. so I left to take my Monday “midday nap”. Zzz.zzzzz….

    Circle 2: I “anticipated” it came down to hit 10415 zone to enter. But price didn’t land at 10415, it made a “W” bottom at 10420, then shoot back up. I was too slow to catch that, so I missed the entry. This time price broke up the high of the day and broke the consolidation zone…

    No position today, but my head was clear most of the time at market. :p

    I am posting both 5 min chart and 1 min chart today with marked entries.

    Thank you everyone for your great advice! I now have RSI(Boli’s), EMA 20 and 100. Daily Pivots on my charts. That will be all for now.
    [​IMG]
     
    #471     Jul 26, 2010
  2. Matcha

    Matcha

    1 min chart
    [​IMG]
     
    #472     Jul 26, 2010
  3. nice job Matcha, no trading sometimes is the best trade.
    I wasn't discipline enough today, should be shame on myself...
     
    #473     Jul 26, 2010
  4. Matcha

    Matcha

    Thanks for sharing! Got to really know when to look at indicators and when not to. The good things I found about indicatiors are sometime it filtered all the bad trades so I don't go over trade that much. And they help me enter the trades confidently.

    I am working on how to use them, what indicators I might dump eventually...
     
    #474     Jul 26, 2010
  5. Very, very good Grasshopper! I am very proud of you! :)

    Remember what I said upthread: Be friend with your Fib scribble. Draw from the morning low (around 0530, red circle) to the morning high (around 0900, light-blue circle). This was a mildly bullish day. At 1100, there was a slight sell off. I didn't believe this sell off would go anywhere. Take a look at the retracement. Anything between 23% and 38% is still bullish.

    Around 1130, price made a small 3-wave down run, then a Double Bottom. You see that price was equal high, but RSI was at higher low. That's Momentum Divergence. You may bet on the long with a small stop. On a smaller time-frame, you can see the grains better. (That's why look at multiple time-frames.)

    [​IMG]
     
    #475     Jul 26, 2010
  6. Matcha

    Matcha



    Thanks, Boli!
    Entered them in my charts today! Removed some MAs and MACD for now.
     
    #476     Jul 26, 2010
  7. Matcha

    Matcha

    Thank you! Would keep just "a few" for now. RSI, MA, PPT, would pay most attention to Price action, bar by bar...

    :p
     
    #477     Jul 26, 2010
  8. Matcha

    Matcha

    We all have those days....... We all have emotions. Just need to keep those days as minimal as possible...
     
    #478     Jul 26, 2010
  9. Here is a higher magnification chart: ES 100 tick. For YM (less volume), need to adjust the tick count.

    [​IMG]
     
    #479     Jul 26, 2010
  10. Matcha

    Matcha

    First of all, I like what you wrote!
    :D Like your sense of humor. You sound like a poet but not ashamed to use "F"! Actually, lots of good writers here in my thread!

    I narrowed down some indicators today. I think I still need just a few of them on my chart. But I would focus mainly on price actions. Eventually, I would decide which one to keep or I might not need anything.

    BTW, what about the JH ? Is he the one who was kept being mentioned in multiple threads? He doesn't seem like having a strong fan base...
     
    #480     Jul 26, 2010