I got last week of February when I did the math but I don't recall the details... notice how already we are seeing news like "insiders are buying in record amounts", next it will be "subprime was all in Europe really", and "priced in"... I never watch the macro [bigger than a half hour] but this thing is interesting....
I got next cycle using the business confidence model posted on princenton econmics institute as March, 25th. Got to admitt he was right about the 07-early 08 cycel going down especially with the credit markets down the toilet.