Marketsurfer's bold gold proclamation

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by marketsurfer, Apr 1, 2008.

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  1. thanks. its what the research is indicating, time will tell.

    surf
     
    #231     Jul 15, 2008
  2. Surf, now it can tank.:D

    Dumped my GLD today. VIX went to 31 good enough for me. But didn't have a chance to reverse into UYG.
     
    #232     Jul 15, 2008

  3. nice trading!

    surf
     
    #233     Jul 15, 2008
  4. $960 today, Surf

    Bad trades never die.....

    What research?
     
    #234     Jul 21, 2008
  5. "due to inherent structural and core issues in large metallic financial operations."

    could you simplify that... i apologize, my native language is English. :p

    p.s. - platinum appears to be leading recently?
     
    #235     Jul 21, 2008
  6. JSSPMK

    JSSPMK

    Surf's proclamation - $600 by 2009 August 1st, stop @ $2,000 :cool:
     
    #236     Jul 21, 2008
  7. Daal

    Daal

    Well, finally you came out of the cave with a argument.
    And its not a bad one. Commodities are due a correction and we are just before a economic downturn, historically we should expect a 20% decline in the CRB index(now called CCI) but with commodity index funds, physical ETFs and with a massive boom of financial intermediation in the last decades we are clearly in uncharted territory and undershooting to the downside could easly happen.

    I know thats not popular to say this on ET but it seems that deflation is becoming more of a threat by the day, there is plenty of smart people on the deflation camp who are hardly government morons(namely peter thiel, john mauldin, pimco) and decoupling is an unlikely outcome by the simple fact its pretty hard to find examples through history, I doubt we see $600 gold again but a big correction IS a possibility which makes me lean torward decreasing position and take profits while I can. A cash position in a commodity currency with massive carry(brazilian real) should outperform gold and will provide some profits in case commodities keep going up and the carry protects against a sell-off in comm or dollar comeback
     
    #237     Jul 21, 2008
  8. Surf,
    If you have any Dec $21 calls for $10.90 please call me ASAP as I'll buy 'em all.
    Good info...just proofread next time.
    I think you mean $81's
    They don't actually pay you for that sh*t do they?
     
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    #238     Aug 4, 2008
  9. Gold market got smashed down. I am not an option trader, did those strategies get hurt or make money?

    H!lL!j
     
    #239     Aug 6, 2008
  10. This article is a good example of how much bad info is out there on the net. I pointed out one mistake, he went back and fixed it, but missed another.

    There's no ratio in his ratio spread. He forgot the other leg.
     
    #240     Aug 6, 2008
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