Markets will correct 50% from today’s close

Discussion in 'Economics' started by IV_Trader, Jul 23, 2008.

  1. Both DOW and SPX are down 40% since the call…But looks like we are going even lower.

    0.6 Price to Sales on SPX (historical bottoms in 87 and 90) will put SPX at 580
     
    #31     Feb 21, 2009
  2. tman

    tman

    Great call!! I hope you made some money.
     
    #32     Feb 21, 2009
  3. Naaiiiillled it.

    Good eyes. Seriously.
     
    #33     Feb 21, 2009
  4. great call!

    but 87 and 90 bottoms have no meaning. too much has changed since then to make direct comparison of the numbers (e.g. did you adjust for inflation?)
     
    #34     Feb 21, 2009
  5. impressive call IV_Trader. :)

    i hope you were holding lots of otm leaps puts on the indexes. those would easily be a 10-bagger by now.

    good job.
     
    #35     Feb 21, 2009
  6. on the contrary this little guy was clueless then. :D
     
    #36     Feb 21, 2009
  7. shortie , P/S is a ratio ; there is no “inflation adjustments”
    :)
     
    #37     Feb 21, 2009
  8. i believe i actually corrected myself in a later post because i thought IV meant IN 2 years as opposed to WITHIN 2 years. Huge difference!
     
    #38     Feb 21, 2009
  9. Ha , I wish ! I am actually “long” since DOW broke 9k…selling 30d OTM puts. So far so good
     
    #39     Feb 21, 2009
  10. rros

    rros

    Can you say what was the P/S ratio for the bottoms of 1937, 1942 and 1974?
     
    #40     Feb 21, 2009