Markets are not Random

Discussion in 'Professional Trading' started by MarkBrown, Sep 16, 2018.

  1. PistolPete

    PistolPete

    "Name a market that has ever done the opposite."

    ScreenShot1170.jpg
    "In my limited knowledge"

    you got that right
     
    #31     Sep 23, 2018
    FriskyCat and MarkBrown like this.
  2. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks

    If you are immortal and never need money, go for it. Don't die intestate.

    You probably want to illustrate Buffet as some sort of example, It is clear with your logic you lionize him. Not only can you NOT get the "deals" he does, he could LOSE, literally lose not drawdown, 42 BILLION or more, (Forbes lists 2018 net worth is 84B) and it would not affect his quality of life. Captain AmericanDream with his 1M net worth can not sustain the same.

    This convo is silly. Trends change. Timing is important.
     
    #32     Sep 23, 2018
    FriskyCat and SunTrader like this.
  3. Sprout

    Sprout

    Last edited: Sep 23, 2018
    #33     Sep 23, 2018
  4. themickey

    themickey

    WHOOOOOAAAAA!!,
    You've been away a long time! Welcome back! :)
     
    #34     Sep 23, 2018
  5. tomorton

    tomorton


    Careful, equity indices tend to go up. This is because the equities which are falling or not rising or which are no longer listed are aggressively replaced as members of the index by equities which are rising. But individual equities have no inherent long-term tendency to move either up or down.
     
    #35     Sep 24, 2018
    Simples likes this.
  6. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    I understand now as well how some think. As long as you don't sell .... you never lose.

    Unless you die first.
    Unless the company you buy doesn't die, aka go bankrupt
    Unless you need the funds for another financial matter.
    Unless you don't consider opportunity cost of being in a better trade.
    Unless ...
     
    #36     Sep 24, 2018
  7. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Exactly. Why sit through a massive drawdown if you don't have.

    Basic Econ 101 and "Trading 101" stuff.
     
    #37     Sep 24, 2018
  8. MarkBrown

    MarkBrown

    why opening ? and which opening ? sounds arbitrary like trends. lol
     
    #38     Sep 24, 2018
  9. Peter8519

    Peter8519

    Markets are not random... then it can be anything...
    1. From the book Trading in the Zone... The semiretired chairman of the board of the brokerage firm was a longtime trader with nearly 40 years of experience in the grain pits at the Chicago Board of Trade. He put a big order and slammed the market to prove the market technician wrong.
    2. At times, it just follow the 50 days moving average for months.
    3. Can we tell what is close price of a particular stock for tomorrow?
     
    #39     Sep 26, 2018
  10. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    LOL markets don't follow any moving averages. If at all, it is the complete opposite. But then again that would be on a random basis.
     
    #40     Sep 26, 2018