I don't buy lottery. I only trade. After trading 17 hours, sometimes you feel that you know what the market would do. I have been wrong and right thousands of time. The important thing is that you should trade in a way that if you are wrong, you won't lose your shirt. By the way, my postings are for entertainment only. You are on your won if you follow me and lose.
Check out the time when I posted. S&P was down 0.41% and not 2%. Do you mean every time that future is down 0.41%, the next day market will be down 2%?
"This time it's different"... Cry wolf enough times and people will stop believing you... And that's when your call is real... Just like... Oh, in the past they didn't raise the debt ceiling and the market didn't give a hoot. Those who say "this time it's different" are idiots...
good call from haji. some people will ignore any evidence even it's a simple difference between ES value at the time of the call and the current value.
A 0.41% negative before the Nikkei opens is substantial and can snowball to 2%. Had you made the prediction at Friday's close, I would've been impressed.