20 handles I suspect. In reality I cannot see him being found.. not yet.. And all this "24 hours away" is just typical "b#llsh#t"..
Buy the rumor, sell the news. Saddams capture or death is already at least partially factored into prices. The news stories about American forces being with 24 hours of capturing Saddam have no doubt helped. There will be an initial knee jerk spike up when he's caught or killed, then the market will close much lower on the day.
I would guess a quick market POP (maybe even quite large) and then straight back to business as usual... Best Natalie