Market Outlook

Discussion in 'Trading' started by GrandSupercycle, Feb 2, 2011.

  1. Key index weekly charts now give bearish signals - the
    correction gathers momentum. Next S&P500 target is 1222.

    Ignore the would be trader trolls - longs be careful.
     
    #251     Jun 8, 2011
  2. EURUSD downtrend is confirmed. Last 1.4592
    USD rally momentum increases.


    Originally posted Feb 16, 2011:
    When DOW/S&P500 correction gathers momentum, I expect:
    UP ~ USD, various USDXXX currencies, VIX Index
    DOWN ~ EURUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, GOLD/SILVER, Base metals like COPPER etc, CRUDE OIL.
     
    #252     Jun 8, 2011
  3. S2007S

    S2007S

    SPX 1096 = 20% correction or bear market after SPX reached a high of 1370 only weeks ago!!!!
     
    #253     Jun 8, 2011
  4. USD SHOWS FURTHER STRENGTH AS EURUSD ROLLS OVER.
    Bring on the overdue dollar rally ...
     
    #254     Jun 9, 2011
  5. hajimow

    hajimow

    Buy SPY now. It is 129.17. It will go to 132 in a week. Or you can sell naked PUT 129 for June 17. We had 6 days of down days. Expect a big rally. At least short term.
     
    #255     Jun 9, 2011
  6. EURUSD downtrend and USD uptrend continues.

    Key equity index weekly charts give bearish signals as the choppy correction gains momentum. S&P500 target is 1222 but that won’t hold. Unfortunately the March 2009 lows will be breached.
     
    #256     Jun 10, 2011
  7. 6 down days is fairly rare and i was expecting this bounce, but i think it might already be over with a test of 125.
     
    #257     Jun 10, 2011
  8. Nine_Ender

    Nine_Ender

    Memories of what you posted on August 15th, 2010 on your blog :

    " DOW and SP500 weekly charts Fri Aug 13 inclusive.

    The indexes continue to be pulled in opposing directions by the
    buyers and sellers – as exemplified by choppy price action and
    megaphone wedges. Daily charts are bearish to neutral.
    Weekly charts are bearish to neutral. Monthly charts are bearish
    to neutral.

    As mentioned earlier, weekly and monthly charts have been topping
    and basically going sideways since early May 2010. This topping
    process will cease and increased selling pressure and more bearish
    consensus should result in a more pronounced downtrend
    developing.

    EURUSD daily chart is bearish. Weekly chart is neutral. Monthly
    chart is bearish to neutral. The opposite applies for the Dollar
    Index so further USD upside is still expected.

    CRUDE OIL daily chart is neutral to bearish. Weekly chart is
    neutral. Monthly chart is neutral to bearish.

    COPPER daily chart is bearish to neutral. Weekly chart is neutral.
    Monthly chart is neutral. Copper long term charts have not been
    bullish for some time – warning what’s ahead for the global
    economy.

    Unfortunately the March 2009 lows will be breached as long term
    trends remain bearish. "

    Conclusion :

    You predicted an extremely bearish move in August 2010 which was followed by a 30%+ bull market. At no point during that 30% mistake did you advocate going long the S&P 500 or the Dow.

    Bearish calls on CRUDE OIL, COPPER, EURUSD were all terribly wrong for no less then 9 months.

    So here we are again, still well above the real support level of 1250 on the S&P 500 and key commodity prices dropping but still HIGHER then where you called shorts on them. So now you make the same PLUNGE as you posted in August 2010 and again in March 2011. Predicting that 1222 will be crushed and the March 2009 lows will be broken.

    Guess what, this is ridiculous, and by this fall it will be VERY CLEAR that you are an idiot. You will AGAIN pretend the calls you made in August 2010 never happened, that they were merely guidance to persuade traders to hold a 30% move on the S&P 500 against their shorts on the hope of eventually making their money back a year later ( still seems doubtful ) or making 30% profit, but only if the S&P 500 crashes below 2009 lows which is unprecedented in the history of stock markets.

    You are possibly the WORST analyst I have ever encountered in my life. But I am happy to present clearly why this is the case, using your ACTUAL BLOG ENTRIES, and sticking strictly to OBJECTIVE COMMODITY AND INDEX values. And yes, I expect to post some bullshit emotional reply meant to distract people from the underlying topic at hand.

    No sale buddy. If we don't break 1222 on the S&P 500 by end of year ( a fairly modest proposal given your overall premise ), you should take manditory retirement from this area. Can we get your commitment to that, buddy, or do you have ZERO accountability and credibility ?

    If I have time, I may look into your calls concerning COPPER, OIL, and the EUR/USD versus actual price movement. It should be enlightening.
     
    #258     Jun 10, 2011
  9. jokepie

    jokepie

    currently market reaching 200dma balance point.
     
    #259     Jun 10, 2011
  10. Key equity index downtrend on daily charts strengthens. Weekly
    charts are bearish to neutral. I expect the overdue equity
    correction to gain considerable momentum.

    EURUSD downtrend and USD uptrend continues but EURUSD currently oversold and USD overbought.

    USDCHF ~ consolidation continued for longer than expected however daily chart bullish signals have now strengthened and further upside expected.

    Ignore the emotional pseudo trader trolls - longs be careful.

    http://stockmarket618.wordpress.com
     
    #260     Jun 13, 2011