The market is shaky and October is just a bad month for stocks. Remember 1987? Anyone? Beuller? I think we could easily drop 15% before October is over.
15% crash right before the election...doubtful. 15% crash within 6 months after the election...probably.
You do know what is going to happen. SPY rallied 19 points after hours on the nationalisation of the GSEs.
i think a rally that no one expects, to relatively speaking high levels something like 1400 then a crash.
<<Scientists hope for surprises in Big Bang experiment Mon Sep 8, 2008 5:13pm EDT By Robert Evans GENEVA (Reuters) - Scientists involved in a historic "Big Bang" experiment to begin this week hope it will turn up many surprises about the universe and its origins -- but reject suggestions it will bring the end of the world. And Robert Aymar, the French physicist who heads the CERN research centre, predicted that discoveries to emerge from his organization's 6.4 billion euro ($9.2 billion) project would spark major advances for human society. "If some of what we expect to find does not turn up, and things we did not foresee do, that will be even more stimulating because it means that we understand less than we thought about nature," said British physicist Brian Cox.>> basically, nobody has a clue what's gonna happen. if this micro big bang takes out switzerland, we could get 15% drop right there and then.