Market Direction INDU SPX OEX NDX RUT

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by gg12, Apr 2, 2006.

  1. ================

    GG1212-HI;
    SPY looks strong Up trend;
    most measures.

    QQQQ looks weak , as usual mostly;
    plenty of lower lows.:cool:
    Down sharply/strongly from all time HI of $120 area:p
     
    #131     Apr 13, 2007
  2. gg12

    gg12

    murray

    I agree Qs / NDX is weak compared to INDU, SPX and RUT.

    But nevertheless the general direction is UP (see attached 1 year comparison).

    That would mean:

    Buy dips.
    Sell rallies.

    Any opinions from other traders?
     
    #132     Apr 17, 2007
  3. gg12

    gg12

    Trend for INDU is UP * Buy dips * Sell Rallies * Use tight trailing stops * Apply risk management
     
    #133     Apr 17, 2007
  4. gg12

    gg12

    Trends for Indexes on a 10 day basis.

    INDU 50 point grid UP
    SPX 5 point grid UP
    NDX 10 point grid UP

    RUT 5 point grid DOWN!
     
    #134     Apr 19, 2007
  5. gg12

    gg12

    Possible scenarios for the INDU based on 10 day trend assessment on a 25 point grid (see attached)
     
    #135     Apr 20, 2007
  6. ==============
    Agree,SPY,ES,SPX is mostly up, including 10 week, very long trend;
    QQQQ is up medium trend, but very extended,
    and very long term downtrend[7 year chart]:cool:
     
    #136     Apr 21, 2007
  7. Sundog

    Sundog

    Agree, NDX is overextended.

    NDX needs a correction, at least for a few days.

    Cheers

    Sundog
     
    #137     Apr 21, 2007
  8. gg12

    gg12

    murray
    Sundog

    please look at attached graphics.

    Despite Trendline Break
    Market Direction is still UP
     
    #138     Apr 23, 2007
  9. Sundog

    Sundog

    Thanx gg12,

    I would wait for a further correction, at least 12910/20(accorrding your chart, mini dow.).This goes conform with the daily chart. If this level holds, I would consider going long, but how knows what the market is doing. I prefer going long on a correction and I like to use the daily chart for this, looking for retracements of at least 30% to 50%. If the market goes without me, I do not chase. The market should go up in a orderly fashion with 30-50% corrections.
    But of course, the market looks bullish to me, too.

    Cheers

    Sundog
     
    #139     Apr 24, 2007
  10. gg12

    gg12

    Sundog

    Thank you for your analysis. I agree with you.

    Shortterm (last 3-4 days) the ES entered into a sideways market

    Entry when 1493 is crossed to the upside or 1486 is crossed to the downside.

    Possible exit system on a 1 week timeframe after entering long or short is to apply a stop of 3 points trailed on the 1 point grid (minus one tick) to limit the risk (but gaps/slippage can occur any time and cab make that equation unvalid).

    Best way is to run some backtesting over a longer time series (many days on similar volatility) to justify.
     
    #140     Apr 24, 2007