market behavior in a recession/leading up to

Discussion in 'Trading' started by krazykarl, Jul 31, 2006.

  1. I was responding to his given number of 80%.

    The current probability depends on who you ask. According to an old paper by the NY Fed, the probability of a recession is only about 30% right now.
    #11     Aug 25, 2006
  2. moo


    If the yield curve inversion reaches 50bp, recession probability rises to 100%. Has it been that inverted yet?
    #12     Aug 28, 2006