and Labor Day! http://www.markdcook.com/index.cfm?page=Cook's-Views-From-The-Barnyard-2009- Cook's Views From The Barnyard 2009 I frequently gaze out over our farm land that stretches in every direction from my trading office. I am prone to pontificating and that vision of the land definitively separates fantasy from reality. My outlook and forecasts for 2009 are based on viewing reality not fantasy as successful traders are able to discern the difference. My first outlook is dealing with the everyday headlines of "will the Tarp save the economy?" The Tarp will become a nonentity by late 2009 as other realities will take forefront. Economic downturns take time to wade out of the muck. We will not see any appreciable upturn this year in our economy. The fact is that by year end inflation will be a greater concern than job loss. It is the worst scenario to lose your job and have to rely on Savings which is worth less in buying power. The fact 2 is that credit cards will be viewed with increasing disdain by businesses as 'cash will be king'! Discounts will be offered for cash and some businesses will finally refuse plastic altogether. The fact 3 is that by year's end when you hear the word green it will make you see red. America became great because of our natural resources that have been tapped for over 3 centuries. It is our ace that will save America. 2009 will become the turning point from consumption to production in both frugality and work ethic. This means the 8 hour work day is history. Blue collar mentality will die a violent death as unions will be the bane of every one's view. People will no longer look for a job but will create their own jobs. Wide spread job creation will be done in homes by entrepreneur people. Green should mean use what God allows to have and get that bail-out hand back on your shovel and 'work'. The fact 4 is that the big explosion in day trading will be evident. Now it will be out of necessity and hunger. This environment spawns growth careers as it become more evident that the Buy and Hold credo of the big brokerage firms died with Merrill Lynch. It is no coincidence that the Merrill Lynch logo of the bull slaughtered them. An irony where the bull slaughtered humans in a blood bath not seen in years. The fact 5 is that agriculture will be a very lucrative industry that will be a dot.com fever pitch that could last for decades. The next big shortage will be food not energy. There is literally too much fuel. There is also too much appetite as is literally too much fuel. There is also too much appetite as the average American has 'Done Lops' disease. This is where the belly done lops over the belt as obesity is the health plague of America akin to the middle ages germ infested death knells. The cure will indeed have to be lack of food, less calories available and Twinkie addiction eradication. The fact 6 is that the stock market will have a gargantuan upside move between now and labor day. It will not bring us to the old highs of October 2007 but will give the baby boomers hope their 401-K is okay, it is not. Shortly, after the rally is completed the market will become sideways and volatility can be seen ebbing away. This is a trader's delight similar to 1992 and 1993 where a great scalp trader will make money with small risk and much fun. Anyone who is afraid of the market now must do a 180 as this could be the year that you can retire; wealthy, healthy and carefree. You have a job you created as a professional trader and you will understand why the market does what it does. My closing remarks for this outlook 2009 forecast is that I will predict an absolutism. Those who follow rules of trading, control their emotions, master the craft and work hard should achieve triple digit percentage returns in 2009. Mark Dennis Cook has never been more excited about a trading environment than 2009 could be. Get the fever!