Thesis Summary: I’m expecting either a marginal beat or a miss — not a blowout. PM bounce likely absorbed most of the upside potential. If MARA breaks above $18.68, the EW sub count is invalidated, but that would require a strong beat, which seems unlikely. Meanwhile, downside risk remains open, with $15 in play on a miss or weak guide. MACD and wave structure both support a potential flush. ️ Strategy Evaluation: Call fly: No longer worth it — upside mostly priced in. Short put: Too risky now given downside is wide open. Long put fly: Probably the best play but not liking the risk/profit. Short put fly: Locks in the loss zone. ✅ Conclusion: The cleanest trade was on Friday with a simple atm short put — missed opportunity. I’ll sit this one out and wait for the next setup. No reason to force it.