Agree, now, there are some times when you dont get a RET, but price fails to show you follow through in the initial direction, that is a clue that one could capitalize on. This is what I meant when I wrote "Some times" above. That is what I am looking for now, I am currently comfortable with my entries, but the next thing after one enters is to identify the price action that is going to confirm that one is in a new trend or not. My thinking is that as soon as one confirms that one is not in a trend one should exit, where exactly? I am looking for it, as you are. I tried extra tight, but it did not work, perhaps because my reentry was not clear, not just because the tight (1 point) exit did not work. The extreme is to use the LSL or LSH as a reference point, but that is usually way too far. Still looking for it though.
I have had trouble compiling stats on multiple exits. That is why I decided to use 1 contract for stats gathering purposes.
A possible solution would be to ignore the precise exit and take a step back to see the larger picture. Once price moves substantially, does it tend to persist in that general direction for the rest of the session? You will have to define what substantial is. My current focus is on gathering stats to help determine the best way to enter the trend. Basically when to use fast rets and when to use slow rets.
Yep, the larger picture is something I have not really got into so far, is one of my to do list priorities, and now that I am on the look for exits perhaps is a good time. For example today buyers were rejected at the top of the hourly channel and then were taken all the way to the bottom where buyers decided it was enough. With that in mind one could differentiate between one exit in the middle of nowhere and one where it is important. I guess.
FT Day 49 Oct 31st Review: There was no reason to exit the last long at 0952. Price had broken out of chop with strength and would most likely persist in the direction of break. http://www.sierrachart.com/image.php?l=1383233110280.png
FT Day 50 Nov 1st Review: Big lesson from today was the need to sustain focus. Price had just failed from a huge upside attempt and this failure should have led me to fully focus back on the PA. Checking forum posts led to missing the entry on the best opportunity of the day. If for some reason I miss the best entry, then I need to quickly decide whether a higher price risk entry is worth it on the next hesitation even if it is intrabar. The dynamics of this situation were compelling enough to warrant the risk of a late entry. I need to draw up some basic guidelines that will differentiate between chasing and late entry. I am also beginning to see how volume and speed give important clues at crucial zones - whether it is a break point, turn point or exhaustion point. I have to think about whether I can create any sort of basic decision framework with these variables. http://www.sierrachart.com/image.php?l=1383321126765.png