Macro trading

Discussion in 'Journals' started by HolyMacro, Oct 27, 2019.

  1. Here are the last week's results. Also reposting the week of 12/2 results with corrected dates. The numbers were accurate.

    upload_2019-12-15_13-5-36.png
     
    #31     Dec 15, 2019
  2. Terminating the ewj, fxi and vgk positions around market close. I’ll post this week’s results and next week’s trades over the weekend.
     
    #32     Dec 20, 2019
  3. Here are the last week's results. Two of the funds happened to pay dividends last week, so I am including the dividend column. On the subject of dividends, at some point I'll start capturing the benchmark's dividend yield, to make sure the benchmark is not understated.

    upload_2019-12-22_22-56-2.png
     
    #33     Dec 22, 2019
  4. This week’s trades are: China (FXI) at 35% allocation – expecting additional lift this week on the back of the Phase 1 deal
    XLI (65%) – expecting positive data releases on US manufacturing
    Will be entering these shortly after the market open
     
    #34     Dec 23, 2019
  5. Keeping fxi and xli for another week, as I believe the factors I cited last week are still at play.
     
    #35     Dec 30, 2019
  6. Terminating fxi and xli positions today at market close
     
    #36     Jan 3, 2020
  7. Here are the results for the past two weeks:
    upload_2020-1-5_21-44-59.png

    None of my posts represent an investment advice, and are provided for entertainment purposes only
     
    #37     Jan 5, 2020
  8. View for this week - China will continue to stabilize due to the effects of the Phase I deal and PBoC easing - fxi
    Oil will continue to firm up due to geopolitical tensions - uso
    US defense sector will continue to firm up for the same reason - ita

    The allocations are 40%, 15%, 45%

    I am executing these buys shortly
     
    #38     Jan 6, 2020
  9. Keeping the FXI and USO positions for another week:

    FXI: expecting positive China retail sales data release next week
    USO: while Oil went back to the pre-escalation level, I think the probability of further shocks has increased, while the demand is holding steady


    I am now rotating out of ITA, and into ERUS: Reinforcing the above energy view with Russia as an oil-dependent economy

    None of my posts represent an investment advice, and are provided for entertainment purposes only
     
    #39     Jan 10, 2020
  10. Didn't get around to posting last week's results, here they are:
    upload_2020-1-16_18-28-23.png
     
    #40     Jan 16, 2020