Cost of carry using the futures is lower, at about 2% per annum. USD/CNH now above 6.60, with the CNH weakening above the level it was before the USD-bearish jobs report of 3 June. .
Ladbrokes on its web page: http://news.ladbrokes.com/politics/...ts-get-the-eu-referendum-result-so-wrong.html Secondary sources: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...es-get-it-so-wrong-ladbrokes-tries-to-explain https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jun/24/bookies-got-eu-vote-wrong-ladbrokes-says .
Why did the polls get it so wrong? http://www.theweek.co.uk/eu-referen...d-cameron-will-resign-by-october-after-brexit https://mathbabe.org/2016/06/24/why-did-the-brexit-polls-get-it-so-wrong/ .
Polls / bookies / other markets: http://www.elitetrader.com/et/index.php?threads/brexit-odds-at-bookies-vs-polls-vs-trade.300637/ .
Jim Bianco on CNBC notes that the polls were closer to 50:50, however betting markets (and also GBP/USD) were pricing a much higher chance of Remain. .
European banks that didn't go up on Tue 28 June 2016: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-06-28/european-dead-cat-bounce-dies-big-banks-end-lower the bounce was nothing but an opportunity for sellers to escape at better prices. While Deutsche eked out a tiny gain, RBS, Unicredit, Credit Suisse, and UBS all tumbled to end the day red... USA: RBS CS UBS DB Unicredit Europe: RBS.L UCG.MI DBK.DE Credit Suisse UBS .
On Thu 30 June 2016 After 30 mins in Europe, banks (down 1.8%) are leading equities on the downside Unicredit UCG Intesa Sanpaolo ISP BMPS RBS .
Japan bond market http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-...d-market-world-has-only-one-inevitable-ending .