Lowry 90% down day update

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Runningbear, Jul 2, 2002.

  1. Russell 3000 July 8

    82% down volume
    80% down points
     
    #21     Jul 8, 2002
  2. Do you have the latest stats for us?
     
    #22     Jul 11, 2002
  3. gnome

    gnome

    Having read a Lowry story on this some time ago... I recall they reference each stock's daily change, multiply that by the number of shares traded, then add them all up for NYSE stocks, ALL stocks? Is this the % numbers you're indicating here? Are you getting this info from somewhere or doing all the legwork yourself?
    Tks.
     
    #23     Jul 11, 2002
  4. Russell 3000

    82% down volume (including worldcom)
    92.6% down points

    SP-500

    85.7% down volume
    98.7% down points

    It is a simple formula. Volume up or volume down/(volume up + volume down). Same for points. Ignore issues unchanged for the day. I do it myself.

    :p
     
    #24     Jul 11, 2002
  5. Thank you Gabe. So near, yet so far....
     
    #25     Jul 11, 2002
  6. Babak

    Babak

    Anyone do the numbers recently? Thanks. (sorry I'm a lazy bum):D
     
    #26     Jul 12, 2002
  7. July 11:

    SP500
    53.60% up points
    71.77% up volume


    Russell 3000 (including worldcom)

    38% up points
    61.9% up volume
     
    #27     Jul 12, 2002
  8. Babak

    Babak

    dgabriel, why do you cal data for SP500? isn't the study based on NYSE data?
     
    #28     Jul 12, 2002
  9. Yes Lowry's does the NYSE, and my eod database does not have that collection so I do the Russell 3000 to get an equivalent broad based sample. But since the SP-500 is also such widely followed index to which so much investment capital is devoted, I am extending the Lowry study to this index to see if it also can provide warnings.

    I corresponded with Paul Desmond on this idea and he thought it was very good.
     
    #29     Jul 12, 2002
  10. No 90% today, I think. I'll run the numbers later and post them, but the blip up into the close I beleive put the volume% at about 85% down. It was close to 90% down volume at 3:45- 3:50

    The SP-500 probably had a complete 90% down day.
     
    #30     Jul 19, 2002