Low risk way to make a 66% return (unleveraged) in 2012

So buy the rumor and sell the news?

Okay, that is solid.

 

Okay, maybe is was a slip.

 

Yeah, figured is was a clown slight thing.

BTW, madcow is wrong - Romney will not be upstaged by an equal or better coiffed running mate. He needs someone who looks like a number 2, like a Christie, but he (Christie) ain't gonna be it. He also needs someone with foreign policy experience - someone who can see Cuba from his/her house is not going to cut it this time.

 

Since it seems you can short on Intrade you should short sell "Obama To Win" at any price above 60 and buy to cover on the dip that will come...guaranteed profit without any election result risk?

 

Why tie up money for 5-6 months on a trade thats only going to be worth 5 points if im correct, potentially could be worth zero(also if im correct), and has an outside chance of blowing up?

I bookmarked this thread, and we will come back to it, and see if you can get 60 or lower right after the VP pick.

 

+1.This and your foreign policy views are spot on

 

I'll bump the thread when it hits 55

 

Ok but

1) that wasn't the question you avoided answering
2) do you even have an intrade account?

 

1.I don't have to trade to make political predictions.I do follow presidential polls including Intrade and post about them on ET.I'm sure you have seen a few of them

2.Yes I have an Intrade account since 2008 .Currently no bets but I will bet on Obama in the future,no need tieing up capital this far out

 

Of course not, but you were suggesting a "trade" as much a prediction.

Far too many of them if you ask me, but then you didn't ask me.

Keeping your powder dry so to speak. Thumbs up.