Looks like Victor Niederhoffer blew up again

Discussion in 'Trading' started by VictorBustoAgain, Apr 10, 2014.


  1. Jealousy must suck.
     
    #61     Apr 11, 2014
  2. zdreg

    zdreg

    it is a regular old saw on ET. those who can't win on the facts personalize.
     
    #62     Apr 11, 2014

  3. surf, you're right back where you left off...why not put your time in the fund stuff (instead of et harASSment) and do an open bar to woo some of those fla HF rejects.
     
    #63     Apr 11, 2014
  4. zdreg

    zdreg

    +1
    sykes + niederhoffer
     
    #64     Apr 11, 2014
  5. piezoe

    piezoe

    Oh. Oh, Oh, wait a minute, I'm having a brainstorm, or is it a vision? I'm having a vision of the risk to reward relationship. Oh wait, there it is. I can see it clearly now. Oh my God! It's non-linear!
     
    #65     Apr 11, 2014
  6. Latency arbitrage and political clout?
     
    #66     Apr 11, 2014
  7. It's pretty sad that a guy goes from legit stat-arb to a dime put addiction. That being stated; most of his gains were padding from selling puts in a roaring bull mkt. So how much of his performance was due to stat-arb? I suspect it's very little. Matador was basically an "always in" put writing program. And yeah, my brother was in Matador.
     
    #67     Apr 11, 2014
  8. Very true but there is a deeper problem than this even. There is something wrong with the basic mathematics of probability. This has been shown in many different ways, but a couple of examples:

    there are 100 year floods more often than they should occur and no Virginia it is not due to global warming.

    A 22 sigma move in the markets should not have occurred in our lifetimes.

    As a consequence, almost all traders bet too much on single trades.
     
    #68     Apr 11, 2014
  9. DE Shaw, Appaloosa, RenTech, Third Point, Bridgewater, Omega, Tudor, Millennium, Baupost, etc.
     
    #69     Apr 11, 2014
  10. T-REX

    T-REX

    I once knew a guy that worshiped the ground this guy walked on.
     
    #70     Apr 11, 2014