Looking for Help with a Theta Decay-Based Strategy (Market Neutral)

Discussion in 'Options' started by Fady911, May 24, 2025.

  1. A brilliant idea! ...as long as the person on the other side of your trades has no understanding of the passage of time!
     
    #11     May 26, 2025
  2. Fady911

    Fady911

    Do you mean that the strategy only works if the option buyer doesn’t understand time decay
     
    #12     May 27, 2025
  3. wxytrader

    wxytrader


    Good luck. Everything that earns a decent premium will almost always get touched...what is it delta x 2, so unless you can handle assignment you will get rekt. I ran the numbers and nothing out performs the short put or long call. Any kind of blend or spread underperform ...except fly's if you want a lotto ticket for fun but carry greater pin risk...especially broken wing variation. :)

    Combination strategies are all about pin risk...if you can't make the position whole, then you are going to be forced out of constantly for a loss. It's that old adage about never go into business with someone who has more money than you. Also fees...fees are a profit stopper.
     
    Last edited: May 27, 2025
    #13     May 27, 2025
  4. bln

    bln

    Even then doing market neutral trading one needs a Alpha generator (method/model providing EV+) because MMs and other market participants aint in the business of giving away free money.

    Myself I built multiple statistical trading models that I'm using for theta harvesting too (beside directional trading). I have one model for doing Covered Call/Ratio Call Write and multiple models that can be used for doing CSP/MSP (which is basically volatility harvesting).
     
    Last edited: May 27, 2025
    #14     May 27, 2025
    VPhantom and newwurldmn like this.
  5. Fady911

    Fady911

    Appreciate your reply! I try to manage assignment/pin risk by hedging with CFDs once price moves near breakeven. Keeps the premium safe without stressing the position.

     
    #15     May 27, 2025
  6. wxytrader

    wxytrader

    Same difference...robbing Peter to pay Paul. ;)
     
    #16     May 27, 2025
  7. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    This post gets ignored by the OP but the OP likes wxytrader.

    That tells you something....
     
    #17     May 27, 2025

  8. Pin risk? REally?
     
    #18     May 27, 2025
  9. theta swap!
     
    #19     May 27, 2025

  10. yessss. this. keep that premium safe with D1. It's always best to hedge as price trades to your risk.
     
    #20     May 27, 2025