Letter To Shareholders- Unique Stocks For The Future-

Discussion in 'Trading' started by stonedinvestor, May 10, 2016.

  1. Timing wise Elite Traders may not be too happy today as the last few times we have reached out from the home office, the market has immediately turned tail and nosedived into a correction. What can we say? There are indicators and there are indicators. In the past it has been our happiness and joy at correctly picking stocks that brought us breathlessly to these pages, this time after a few years of the market going nowhere and with the prospect of retirement in the future it is with a more somber, less speculative tone that we address the Elite Trading community.

    One look at the stocks forum tells me all I have to know-- You people are bored out of your shorts, there isn't a unique idea being presented. This fine web site has the ability to be interesting and fun but for that to happen some more interesting fun people have to get involved.

    A lot has happened to our ET Portfolio so much so that we cannot even begin to put the pieces back together. Some of the ideas that have worked out great and that we still own we roll into a New ET Portfolio for the Summer retirement period. This brings me to the point of this article: I received a letter in the mail from AARP. It nearly stopped my heart. Apparently I am now old enough to lug around their shopping bag and as such old enough to consider retirement. That's heavy.

    It so happens my step father has died recently and I have been in the protracted battle of liberating his IRA from Schwab. This is taking far too long, but VERY soon I will have $80,000 to invest! In this lousy market. I have put in the time researching and researching and BOY do I have the names! Unique Stocks For The Future -USFTF-

    1) PYPL-- I am hot for Paypal, This is going to be my largest position. I see the Paypal option more and more when I'm online and it's so much easier than filling out all the card info. It's one click or two click and that is huge. Paypal's most recent earnings report was a thing of beauty. Everything is going right for this company right now. This is a young company without debt, the shares I feel will double in an IRA. My first purchase will be Paypal.

    PayPal has reliably increased their growth rate and earnings.They have been able to accelerate user growth from 10% to 11%, revenue has increased from 14% to 19% and earnings per share from 28% to 43%.

    2) POOL-- This is a holdover from our last notes here, the stock has been fantastic up $15 or so and there is no reason for it to stop now. Very fractured industry, this large player has the ability to buy growth when they need it and to sell new stuff to existing customers. We are heading into the pool season in more ways than one. This stock just quietly goes up!

    3) COR & WPC-- DIVIDENDS! I want some and in fact a small part of me was going to micromanage this IRA by just dividend hopping from one stock to another. I believe there may be a future in analyzing which dividend players step back share wise after paying out and for how long, if one was nimble enough they could really boost the overall return in an IRA. COR is a Cloud storage REIT that sector is amazing, I already own EQIX and there are others.(DFT & DLR) WPC is a well run commercial mortgage REIT. These offer yields of 3%-6%.

    4) TMO-- Holdover from our last communication, a life sciences, medical play with strong earnings.

    Thermo Fisher Scientific Q1 Results ($M): Total Revenues: 4,294.8 (+9.6%); Life Sciences Solutions: 1,133.0 (+11.1%); Analytical Instruments: 759.3 (+4.4%); Specialty Diagnostics: 854.6 (+8.8%); Lab Products & Services: 1,724.6 (+14.0%).Net Income: 402.2 (+4.4%); Non-GAAP Net Income: 717.1 (+9.4%); EPS: 1.01 (+5.2%); Non-GAAP EPS: 1.80 (+10.4%); CF Ops: 289.1 (+261.4%).2016

    + Guidance: Revenues: $17.86B - 18.04B from $17.36B - 17.56B; Non-GAAP EPS: $8.05 - 8.19 from $7.80 - 7.96.

    5) Tech stock. I haven't chosen which one yet SIMO looks very strong and has caught my eye. NPTN is a semi has stumbled on margins but potential seems very high. Maybe an IPO will come out that has merit.

    This is the plan-- those are the stocks. I have been informed by Mr Charles' legal dept that once I re register the IRA with them (in the process) and then swiftly take it away I shall be fully funded and ready to go with my first IRA! Then what-? I'm not sure, I have ten years or so to build this into a nest egg. Stay tuned. ~stoney
     
  2. Trades made Update!!!

    I have sold TMO for a 14% gain. It is LT.

    Your original ET Portfolio last year was

    2015 ELITE PORTFOLIO :

    POOL has advanced from $58 - $70 That would be our top performer.-- IT's NOW $90 FOLKS SHAREHOLDERS!!!!!! HUGE GAIN

    TMO- is $130 down a couple bucks but within clear site of breaking out. Just made a $400 mln purchase.SOLD YESTERDAY $148+ a 14% gain.

    HQY- LOSS $29- $24.73 We are still in! Cannot believe we are down on this one.. Politics playing a roll???

    TUMI- BUYOUT SAMSONITE! $19- $26+!!!!!!!! HUGE GAIN!!!

    EXPD- $ 46 flat... boring. Pretty much describes air freight. Sold a long time aGO

    ZLTQ-$29 Hanging on. Earnings good. Sold Long Time ago.

    KERX- Down quite a bit $11- $9.75... Hummmm This was both sold and bought again. I'm stubbornly hanging on until infinity.

    THRM $47- $55 has done well. Sold long time ago...

    >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>


    I think I did well for you in such a tough year! My new ideas are PAYPAL & Boyd Casino. These are the two new stocks you should buy NOW.

    I have also added Pet food maker BUFF - They just spiked on earnings but I'm at cost anyway so consider $26 your starting point.

    2016 ELITE PORTFOLIO :

    HQY-$24.75

    POOL-$90.60

    PYPL-$39.60

    BYD-$19.00

    BUFF- $26.00

    KERX- $5.20

    INO- $9.30


    WATCH LIST: DIV play WPC $63.40 6% yld

    WATCH LIST: SIMO & WOOF
     
  3. It looks to me like biotech wants to move up. We have two small players in the portfolio today we add IONS. I will give you write ups on these names when I can. For now think of IONS as on the come with partnerships and controversial methods, INO as a Zika play and Kerx as a small bio with a product making money slowly but surely with more applications for said product increasing sales.

    BUY IONS - $ 33.35

    We have noticed a good deal of insider selling at POOL and have put the stock up for our sell review panel which meets every other wed. In anticipation of replacing POOL we are bringing a new foreign position into our stock world, a company we are excited about ALLE. Allegion makes new age locks. Automatic card key hotel and many other types of places and even homes. There is a move from the standard bolt lock to a more high tech option and this company is in the thick of it. I have been following the name for months and about now is the time to buy. After the fed speak minutes etc... this name will be added to the portfolio and most likely pool sold.

    BUY ALLE- $ 66.70

    That is all for now. Remember to buy Paypal Now, the company has an analyst info breakdown session tomorrow and we are ready to cross the $40 barrier for good. ~stoney
     
  4. Good morning, and welcome to the stonedinvesting Summer Update! All participants will be in listen-only mode. After today's presentation, I will activate the two way call back fweature and you all may leave comments. Please note this event is being recorded over and over in my head.

    I would now like to turn the conference over to Stoney- Please go ahead.

    Stoney - Director-Investor Relations

    Thank you, Good morning, everyone. Welcome and thank you, thank you, thank you. I promised management I'd say Thank you four times.

    Our stock picks are eclectic and different. Like anyone else we lose some we win some. This year has been like the one before it-- very very difficult. The averages have gone nowhere which means if you are one of the mindless lemmings out there in an Index fund you have ended up where you started. This is bound to get old at some point.

    Please go to slide number two.

    We Purchased Central Garden and Pet yesterday. We are adding this to a position in Tractor Supply that we have held for some time. I am beginning a basket of AMZN proof retail stocks.
    We like the pet angle of CENT and of course we are very into farming and gardening both of which are accomplished to some degree of success by myself on weekends in Ct.

    There is a lot of OLED buzz going on and Apple phone musing, as far as I see it the next step for the I phone is going to be Virtual reality and I think it fails. There is a numbing sadness to the fact that we cannot travel anywhere anymore all these terrorists and bombs and places destroyed palaces and castles and ruins we will never see again... or will we? These places have photos of when they were still standing and those photos can be manipulated into 3D images. The future of travel will be in the headset attached to the phone and folks will sit in their dark rooms and actually be looking at the ruins of Rome or be inside the fanciest cafe's in Turkey.

    Apple will allow you to put a stupid image of yourself pretending to be standing in front of Big Ben the clock or wherever and so the new I-7 deluxe model will be an experimentation into lying. Here I am in Hawaii yea right. Anyway back to the OLED we have been buying LG Display LPL. Certainly not the exciting side of the OLED play (OLED - of course- and AMAT) both at highs. When you are high you are good. As we all know. (chuckle). Still 2016-17 should be very good for LPL.

    There are still more stocks we have to add to the portfolio and we hope to do so as soon as Charles Schwab gets off his lazy ass. I mean the time it takes to transfer an inherited IRA from a recently dead family member is mind boggling-- I've missed the whole correction as now we are heading back up. ~stoney

    BUY CENT $19.00

    BUY LPL $ 10.90
     
  5. I also bought NFLX yesterday and that's after selling Facebook and Amazon within this month!!!
    Makes little sense I know but gains are hard to come by and I had two healthy ones I wanted to protect and book... and then NFLX appeared on my credit card twice the usual $8 and a mysterious $18 for DVD's which I do not ask for or receive... I don't study these credit card statements closely enough they have been dinging me an extra $18 bucks for how long..? Well I called the company to find out and catch this irony. The account in question was opened by one of our credit cards who's number is now long gone after several bouts of forgetfulness and fraud. I have a new Amex number and this is the number that NFLX migrated to yet in order to stop the charge you need the initial number... can't get there with the new card. It's the kind of bugaboo that's on purpose and it makes me crazy. An hour later after going through all my old card numbers with Amax I figured out the card number, located the charge and NFLX is apparently refunding me one year's worth... Ultimately in the end it was good customer service even though the backbone of the system is broken. Still they answered the phone within 2 minutes which is good. Now what do I have from NFLX? I have no idea. I hope to still be able to get it on my computer- it doesn't work through my TV for some reason.

    I got to thinking- How many other people are being over charged and never realize it? I fear all of this originated several years ago in Nevis when I was at a hotel without a TV... That's a lot of free money they booked on a dead account and times me by many more... Then of course there's the company itself which stands to benefit from Disney exclusivity going forwards and I have to eventually finish off House Of Cards.

    Then there's the fact that I have come up with this theory that big cap is going to stall and small cap catch up and I have been selling a lot of big cap ideas and am in a bit of a tech panic no longer owning the likes of amazon. So I bought Netflix.~si

    BUY NFLX $ 98.00


    2016 ELITE PORTFOLIO : (with purchase prices)

    HQY- $24.75

    POOL- $90.60

    PYPL- $39.60

    BYD- $19.00

    BUFF- $26.00

    KERX- $5.20

    INO- $9.30

    IONS- $33.35

    ALLE- $ 66.70

    CENT- $ 19.00

    LPL- $10.90

    NFLX- $97.00
     
  6. It's That Time Again! The stoned one speaks! Gather round yer family members and lets talk about the StonedInvesting portfolio... given freely each year at Elite Trader. Those of you that know know -those of you relatively new to the forum will want to take special notice of this investing event. When one of the highest investors in the world tackles the problem of beating the markets. Beating the computers. Beating himself.

    How are we doing? What are we selling, have sold and what are we buying. What is the new StonedInvesting portfolio? Alright first off you can believe me or not but I micro manage these things I sold NFLX just last week and it was in the $163.00 range I was dreadfully fearing a tech sell off which kind of happened. Out of NFLX. This House Of Cards.

    (1) In NFLX $97 out $163.

    After seven or eight years of having a summer house, finally my wife brow beat me into digging a pool. That's just the half of it, after the pool comes an unending steam of spending. Up next a patio/ grotto and then chairs, a dining table. Already the bed lounge is sitting in the sun, the pool is filled with salt water and the living is easy. Maintaining a pool has it's costs and that leads us into another core position POOL.

    (2) In POOL $90.60 out $123 is today's price. I'm calling in later to find and sell this stock it's tucked away in one of my Custodials. You may chose to hold it although my memory is that in the summer months when you would assume a stock called POOL would do well it's lagged in the past... Nothing fundamental but we can move on.

    (3) HQY- The ole' Health Savings Account stock... What can I say?
    In HQY $24.75 Out today $51.40 That's a Double!

    (4) PYPL- kind of an obvious buy at the time this too I sold last week.
    In PYPL $39.60 Out $52 area where it is. (bad sell?)

    (5) BYD- Casino stock lagged. Tough to watch everyday. Was expecting a REIT spin off that never came. Never the less. In BYD $19 Out $24-25

    (6) Buff--- Finally a screw up!!! Yes I feed my Rhodesian Ridgeback Blue Buffalo so I kind of Peter Lynched it In BUFF $26 out $24 Booooooooooooooo!

    (7) Ok we are hitting the bad part of the portfolio hold on... I took a stab at two speculative small Biotechs...

    (8) In KERX $5.20 Now $6.01 Still in. Long story...

    I was going to save the world and i was afraid of Zika's economic effect and I bough Vax maker (9) INO at $9.30 Now $7.99 It's just been a drag but I believe in management to an extent....

    While I'm at it lets look at a good pick that Should be a heck of a lot higher...
    (10) IONS in $33.35 Now $ 52. My price target is $90-$100 I would be a buyer.

    ALLE - is an international lock maker and I just bought more yesterday!!! This stock is going a lot higher, (11) ALLE in $66.70 & $81! Now $82.

    (12) CENT- garden & Pet store
    In CENT $19.00 Out Today $32.50... ! Bam.

    (13) LPL- In $10.90 Out Today $16.00 area.

    Special note to shareholders. you are damn welcome. 13 picks 2 losers... THAT is stonedinvesting at it's best. I had a few other great ideas I wish I had written down here but I'm only going with the official stonedinvesting ET Portfolio.

    What Now?...I have been buying a few names. I have some new ideas.

    Carrying over into this year's Elite portfolio are 3 names:

    A) ALLE-

    B) IONS-

    C) KERX-

    Next Up- " Fresh Start "
    End pt1. ~stoney
     
    vanzandt likes this.
  7. FIRST UP.

    Kornit Digital. If you watch fashion closely you know prints pictures can be blown up and printed on fabric. Now rug making is a whole new world with computers and high end digital printing. It's changing everything and it will make it's way down to the regular person level soon. Kornit Digital is a co based of Israel that is the core of this trend. AMZN is I believe a large shareholder, they are certainly involved in some way and I think not to on from now consumers may have an amazon option for ordering your own fathead size picture of yourself or your art.

    KRNT is currently $19.65 BUY.
     
  8. Lots of excitement over the new Apple i phone. You know they want to get into augmented reality and that's what I do every darn day. Morning to night. I'm not discovering Pokeymen but I'm getting around. They want to turn that phone more immersive... so 3D ability is important and that's why I have added Lumentum Holdings.

    LITE is currently $ 62.85
     
  9. I am Zen. Zendesk does the usual cloud stuff all these companies sound alike... they are rivals with PAYC which has been an incredible stock I missed out on. Zendesk is maybe number 3 in the field whatever the heck field that is-- I would call it customer support which for old folks is the core of the internet... provides software-as-a-service products for organizations. Its flagship product includes Zendesk Support, a system for tracking, prioritizing, and solving customer support tickets across various channels.

    Zen is currently $27.80
     
  10. ok.- 6 so far-- I'd like to boost this up to approx 11 names... if any of you have any good ideas please drop them here. Although I am going to be away from my desk (and in a pool) for the next month I have also finally allowed the internet into my getaway place...

    1-ALLE
    2-IONS
    3-KERX
    4-KRNT
    5-LITE
    6-ZEN

    Watch List: IRDM/ ODFL/ TMO/ PAYC/ RNG/ PI/ SSTI/ WBC/ CARA/ AER/ KITE....
     
    #10     Jun 20, 2017