Lehman Emergency Weekend Meeting

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Digs, Jun 14, 2008.

  1. Digs

    Digs

    Is a rumour takeover good or bad for shorts ????


    http://www.cnbc.com//id/25161379

    Lehman's Weekend Meetings Raise Questions


    On Monday, Lehman preannounced a $2.8 billion loss and that it would raise $6 billion in new capital to bolster its balance sheet, which is bleeding losses because of soured loans on its books.

    On Thursday, CNBC was first to report that Erin Callen, the firm's chief financial officer, and Joe Gregory, Lehman's president, were stepping down from their posts, only adding to investor concerns about Lehman's future.

    Lehman Chief Executive Dick Fuld has been working overtime to restore investor confidence in the firm a after some investors believed they were misled about the size of the firm's losses and need for new capital. Because of the eroding investors support, and damage stemming from the firm's financial troubles, speculation is growing that the firm might have to be sold. CNBC reported that private equity firm Blackstone is interested in taking a stake in Lehman. Other firms have expressed interest in buying Lehman as well. Only after the reports of a possible sale, did shares of Lehman reverse a week-long slide.

    The weekend meetings are unusual, say people close to the firm. The executives summoned to headquarters include everyone from Stephen Lessing, the head of Lehman private client group to Scott Freidheim, the firm's co-chief administrative officer. It is unclear if the meetings are related to a possible deal, or just preparation for the Monday's official earnings announcement, possibly the most important earnings release for Lehman in recent years.

    A spokeswoman for Lehman had no comment. Contacted at his office on Saturday morning, Freidheim had no comment as well.

    Wall Street executives say Lehman's current problems have taken a tremendous toll on CEO Fuld, known as the "gorilla" on Wall Street because of his tough management style that has saved Lehman from crisis in the past.

    Fuld has resisted selling Lehman to bigger players in the past, and in doing, has built one of the most successful securities firm, which before the recent crisis was a darling of Wall Street.


    However, many Wall Street executive believe the current fiscal crisis hitting Lehman is different that past troubles because of the size of the bad loans on the firm's balance sheet, and because Wall Street firms will likely face eroding profit margins for at least the next year.

    Like most firms on Wall Street, Lehman has been cutting back on how much risk it will taking in trading and other businesses, in an attempt to prevent the firm from imploding as Bear Stearns did three months ago. While taking less risk may soothe investors concerns that the firm may lose even more money, it also means that Lehman will produce lower profits in the future.

    The lower profit margins combined with the possibility of further writedowns of losses could force Fuld to sell the firm. At the very least, people close to Lehman expect Fuld to make some announcement about Lehman's future on Monday when it releases earnings.
     
    #21     Jun 15, 2008
  2. Jim Rogers has the right philosophy on this.

    When asked on IBs, he said he's short. And if they go up, he'll short them somewhere. He may have been wrong on airlines but he has already been proven right on IBs. If LEH gaps up, it's all smoke and mirrors, I'm shorting. If it's been taken over, short the buyer. Unless of course it's Goldman. In that case buy Goldman because your money is safe with them. :D

    Rendering of Goldman's new HQs in lower Manhattan :D :D
    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
    #22     Jun 15, 2008
  3. Don't forget the GS Washington Branch Office:

    [​IMG]
     
    #23     Jun 15, 2008
  4. I heard that Lehman tried to order coffee, bagels and doughnuts on their account for this meeting, but the vendor wanted cash up front.

    I wonder if they went hungry.
     
    #24     Jun 15, 2008
  5. The meeting is nothing but LEH wants one voice after the Monday meeting since they booted the CFO and COO all in a hurry.

    Nothing is going to happen, the futures are little changed, if there were something on the meeting, you bet, have a good sleep.
     
    #25     Jun 15, 2008
  6. The coming earning report will be bad; but you can bet that it is better than most analysts thought; :D

    Anyway; LEH is a dead cat.
     
    #26     Jun 15, 2008
  7. Digs

    Digs

    First the results are released by old CFO at $2.8 bn loss.

    Then CFO is fired.

    New CFO calls for weekend meeting before final results release on Monday.

    My BET: The $2.8bn loss is not final, and the new loss will be worse. So staff have been briefed to handle media frenzy.

    Why: CFO's goto jail if the results are not correct.
     
    #27     Jun 16, 2008
  8. Fuld knows his time has come. Greed ruined his legacy. He will be remembered as the idiot that managed to rescue LEH from ruin multiple times and eventually was in the drivers seat himself when he drove it into the wall.
     
    #28     Jun 16, 2008
  9. Punish this pig into the $5 level!!! They cannot mess with investor confidence like this with such incompetence.
     
    #29     Jun 16, 2008
  10. LOL, what is this the Yahoo boards?

    LEH = Dead money, there are takeover bids floating around and all the overhead supply you can eat > $30. Go find something else to short (or buy).
     
    #30     Jun 16, 2008