Learning to read Price Action with P&F Charting

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by HolyGrail, Mar 22, 2008.

  1. a few bad ticks would not spoil the rs chart too much.it is the look back period that gives the most discrepancy..i think.???
     
    #791     May 16, 2008
  2. pnf.guy

    pnf.guy

    Regarding Ticker symbol Mos

    1. I would have a long bias from 119.00

    2. I would terminate my long bias at 130.00

    3. If I was in at 140 calls I would not be to happy with the current action however nothing indicates its a good shorting candidate either.
     
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    #792     May 16, 2008
  3. pnf.guy

    pnf.guy

    There is no reason that candles can't be used in conjunction with P&F. I find this candlevolume chart to be helpful. This chart of MoS indicates price came down with abnormally large volume. This current bounce off of 115 has been on relatiively light volume. This is no reason to be short but it does indicate there is supply at these levels
     
    #793     May 16, 2008
  4. Why I don't bet.
    Had I learned of this, I wouldn't have made that statement
     
    #794     May 16, 2008
  5. What it really did
    ( I may be right in the short run considering what the market is doing today.)
     
    #795     May 16, 2008
  6. If there is a decent trend more times than not the breakout will be in the direction of the trend.
     
    #796     May 16, 2008
  7. abx...barrick gold
    anybody got any veiws.?
     
    #797     May 16, 2008
  8. barrick broke a triple bottom a while back and so long as it holds it I'd say it's very bearish ... and even if it breaks upwards it's still being held back by the bearish trendline.

    Interestingly enough Gold is Bullish, the GS Gold Index is Bullish, Materials are Bullish and Energy is Bullish and, while high on their bullish percent charts, nothing is showing a downturn.

    So I don't know what their story is (but I'm sure they have one).

    If I had to make a decision?

    Look for shorting opportunities, but do so conservatively (I'm the kind of guy who likes ALL of his ducks lined up before he hits the button). :D

    P.S. 42 is also where it broke its long-term uptrend ... it'll probably at least trade back up to that point before (maybe) dropping to the Price Objective of 27.00.
     
    #798     May 16, 2008
  9. I concur. Excellent analysis JJ.
     
    #799     May 16, 2008
  10. Whenever I am in doubt about a stock I always move up to the next incremental box size and see if it looks bullish.

    Here is abx on a 2.0 chart. Not a pretty sight.

    Now that is not to say this can't move up. It just tells me of all the gold stocks this is just not one I would want to be long right now.
     
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    #800     May 16, 2008