Large Cap Sentiment Poll

Discussion in 'Trading' started by eagle488, Oct 21, 2006.

What will dominate the next few years?

  1. Small Cap

    1 vote(s)
    11.1%

  2. Mid Cap

    3 vote(s)
    33.3%

  3. Large Cap

    3 vote(s)
    33.3%

  4. Foreign

    2 vote(s)
    22.2%
  1. eagle488

    eagle488

    It appears that small cap has absolutely dominated the last few years. What do you believe will dominate the next few years?
     
    #1     Oct 21, 2006
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  2. Bitstream

    Bitstream

    large caps already dominatin' this yr and prolly will for yrs to come.
     
    #2     Oct 21, 2006
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  3. Drock409

    Drock409

    believe it or not Historically Small cap value dominates...but i think goin forward the inefficiences of investing and evaluationg the foreign markets as well as foreigners beginning to invest in threir own counties start to take placea on a more accepted level and those markets far outpace as they have so many years of "catching up"

    d
     
    #3     Oct 21, 2006
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  4. eagle488

    eagle488

    Are you absolutely certain that the small cap value is historically the best? I didnt really drill down into the data, but I use www.russell.com calculator to get different views of the market. You can use the calculator to go mtd, qtd, ytd, 1-11 years out.

    According to their 11 year outlook, it appears that Mid-Cap Value seems the most aggressive. In all cases, value does seem to outpace growth stocks.

    Russell 3000® Index 9.85
    Russell 3000® Growth Index 6.85
    Russell 3000® Value Index 12.07
    Russell 3000E™ Index --
    Large-Cap Indexes

    Russell 1000® Index 9.90
    Russell 1000® Growth Index 7.03
    Russell 1000® Value Index 11.97
    Russell Top 200® Index 9.12
    Russell Top 200® Growth Index 6.68
    Russell Top 200® Value Index 11.13
    Russell Top 50™ Index --
    Mid-Cap Indexes

    Russell Midcap® Index 12.66
    Russell Midcap® Growth Index 9.34
    Russell Midcap® Value Index 14.10
    Small-Cap Indexes

    Russell 2000® Index 10.16
    Russell 2000® Growth Index 5.62
    Russell 2000® Value Index 14.01
    Russell 2500™ Index 11.92
    Russell 2500™ Growth Index 7.83
    Russell 2500™ Value Index 14.37

    As well, looking at the S&P indexes, it does appear that mid-cap value has dominated the last 10 years.

    http://www2.standardandpoors.com/spf/pdf/index/tr.pdf
     
    #4     Oct 21, 2006
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  5. eagle488

    eagle488

    I went to VanGuard.com to compare the S&P and Russell data with their indexes.

    Here are the indexes I found with at least 10 years of time:

    S&P500, Created 1976, 12.1%
    Large Cap Growth, 1992, 9.36%
    Large Cap Value, 1992, 11.69%
    Total Stock Market, 1992, 10.57%

    Small Cap Index, 1960, 11.09%
    Extended Market (Smal to mid caps), 1987 11.98%

    Total International Stock Index, 1996, 6.36% UH-OH!
     
    #5     Oct 21, 2006
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