Another good call. Nitro, as long as you forget about FV and your eco-political mumbo-jumbo, your predictions are excellent! Why can't you just stick to those????
Psychology to me is nothing more than the increase or decrease of topological holes - moving from spheres with no holes, to n-tori, and back to spheres. When we move to greed, there are probably very few holes in the topological surface that describes the market, described by a sphere. Moves are smooth and equations are linear. When the number of holes expand the the VIX gets "hot", equations become highly non-linear and their solutions now live on n-tori, and fear ensues because there are many equilibria. So theoretically, greed is a far simpler thing to describe than fear, and hence easier to trade. That is why people prefer it - it has lower entropy.
" the field of battle is strewn with the corpses of eggheads that thought they were smarter than the enemy." Moe Crapshoot 1743
"US Senate Approves China Yuan Bill, House Fate Unclear" http://www.cnbc.com/id/44867016 The effect of this, on the other hand, is very unclear to me. The plot thickens. Still, I would not short SIFs, not yet.
The current position is only 50 pts in the red.... On the other hand he was right again about reaching 1202.....
Calibrated FV, 921.78. FV, 1110.64. Mid, 1016.21. Note it is Calibrated FV to make a colossal move higher. FV also made a very strong move higher. Still wrong to sell short.
big jump, ballistic, explosive rise, colossal move, oh wait, you used colossal move on Monday and then again today, how repetitive. If you need help with fresh adjectives to describe your model's moves I can recommend this reference: http://thesaurus.com/ "enormous, gargantuan, giant, gigantic, huge, humongous, immense, jumbo, mammoth, mondo, monstrous, mountainous, super, titanic, vast"
No, my expletives are also quantized. They are taken from the different ways a volcano can erupt and the energy level released: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volcanic_Explosivity_Index I have not used super-colossal or mega-colossal yet, that would be cool.