Forced myself to take profits even though i think this goes much lower. Out 1 of three units (short from 1164.75) at Sep ES 1149.50. +15.25. Still holding short units from 1171.50 and 1186.25.
What is a unit? It is your own size per trade. For a small trader, a unit is anywhere from 1 to 10 contracts. For an intermediate trader 10 - 50, and I consider anyone trading > 50 contracts in ES at a time, that is not a hedge, a large trader.
Calibrated FV, 1070.12. FV 1195.12. Mid 1132.62. Briefly considered taking some profits by buying ES 1127 ish pre-market, but decided against it. I don't see what can stop 1100 or lower. It may go higher first, but western market fates are sealed imo.
So 1 week ago when FV was 1300 or 1400+ the fates were unsealed, but now suddenly everything is different?
You never know, he might even be right. Not that it would mean anything, but as you know, random = 50%, so even though overall the calls would lose money, as the evidence of this thread has proven to within as close to certainty as you can get, the chance that any one of them is correct is still a coin flip. Disputing the calls is, therefore, a mug's game. It's all entertainment, and worth every penny you pay for it.