Kudos to MMs

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by nitro, Oct 23, 2008.

  1. nitro

    nitro

    ES at 890.xx as I write this. They are now trading closer to Fair Value. My FV is approximately 872.
     
    #211     Dec 9, 2008
  2. nitro

    nitro

    ES 892.xx as I write this. Imo still about 20 handles above Fair Value.
     
    #212     Dec 10, 2008
  3. nitro

    nitro

    ES 887.xx as I write this. FV moving lower, close to 850 imo. I might try a buy at 842, but I have to see what the dynamics are when we get there.
     
    #213     Dec 11, 2008
  4. nitro

    nitro

    Imo this is a confused market, at least for me. I would stand aside.
     
    #214     Dec 11, 2008
  5. nitro

    nitro

    Critical support at 820 within a stone throw pre-market. Probably close to 90 delta we test that level today. I would not buy 820 [last time I said that I gave up 80 handles to the upside because I didn't react to the rally]. Generally, the chart pattern is continuation pattern to the downside.

    It appears that an auto bailout is worth somewhere about 150 handles to the market. If you believe that 820 is the pivot, and 900 as some sort of holding pattern from that 820, then the downside target is the low of about 750 and an upside target somewhere around 970.

    The one thing to pay attention to in the next few days or even today, is the possibility of the BOJ doing a Yen/Dollar currency intervention. If that happens, we may get a violent pullback higher, with a likely denoument lower. In fact the action in currencies is already violent as I look at [our] overnight action.

    I hate to say it, but a massive flushing is still coming, imo.
     
    #215     Dec 12, 2008
  6. nitro

    nitro

    SIFs trading very efficiently pre-market. Zero edge here imo.
     
    #216     Dec 12, 2008
  7. nitro

    nitro

    Imo ES is now trading _below_ "FV". That hasn't happened in a while. I estimate FV is now ~900.
     
    #217     Dec 15, 2008
  8. nitro

    nitro

    ES trading about 30 handles below FV, of approximately 890.
     
    #218     Dec 15, 2008
  9. nitro

    nitro

    Minor resistance 880-885. Be quick because when that goes, 900 is in your face.
     
    #219     Dec 15, 2008
  10. ......update on uup
     
    • uup.gif
      File size:
      30.7 KB
      Views:
      78
    #220     Dec 15, 2008