Kudos to MMs

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by nitro, Oct 23, 2008.

  1. nitro

    nitro

    Real resistance 1100-1104 ish SPX. Probably closer to 1102...
     
    #1161     Feb 17, 2010
  2. nitro

    nitro

    FOMC minutes later today. Almost certainly nothing of consequence. Beware that any discussion that sounds like the bias is shifting in IRs will likely spiral SIFs 10 handles down. The expectation is free money forever.
     
    #1162     Feb 17, 2010
  3. nitro

    nitro

    Oh oh...
     
    #1163     Feb 17, 2010
  4. nitro

    nitro

    Amigoes,

    If you are long, you have been warned. Odds of SIFs decent red by close 75%, imo.
     
    #1164     Feb 17, 2010
  5. nitro

    nitro

    Shorts probing how much size there is to go by the buyer. If it looks like it is infinite, best to back off. If it looks like it drying up, wack bids.

    It is possible that some of the bids left are gamma programs, but that will be decided soon enough.
     
    #1165     Feb 17, 2010
  6. nitro

    nitro

    Uh,

    That was wrong. Fortunately it only cost me a 1/4.
     
    #1166     Feb 17, 2010
  7. nitro

    nitro

    PPI is no surprise. That WMT is doing badly, and that more people are being laid off, well, this economy is a bigger disaster than people are willing to admit.

    Imo the FOMC minutes yesterday is the first sign I have seen on paper that the FED is very close to changing the language on FOMC day. Given above news today, I don't see how they can raise IRs, but I have come to the conclusion that from here to 1% FFs makes zero difference to employment, but it may do more good than harm.

    This small rally has been relatively expensive for the buyer. Almost no volume forcing prices higher. Expiration Friday tomorrow.
     
    #1167     Feb 18, 2010
  8. nitro

    nitro

    "FV" ~856
    "NFV" ~1043
     
    #1168     Feb 18, 2010
  9. nitro

    nitro

    This goes down ten handles on the open. From there I don't know, but the key levels are 1092, 1082 and 1072. To the upside 1102 ish
     
    #1169     Feb 18, 2010
  10. nitro

    nitro

    Wrong again.

    This market has me confused. Nasdaq futures have been very strong in the face of bonds slowly tightening the noose. Whatever.
     
    #1170     Feb 18, 2010