As I was watching Kenny Rogers' performance against the mighty yankees, I was reflecting on its perfect analogy with trading, i.e., everything is possible (Black swan) ! The probability that Rogers would go for 7+ innings without a run was very small, according to past poor results against the yankees. Nethertheless, it happened. Some sport talk show host in New York, before the game, promised his pal that he would buy a season ticket for next year season of the San Francisco Giants, would Rogers go without a run ! (That pal is a Giant fan). What this talk show host should have known, as any experienced trader would know, is that you never go "all in" in this prediction business. But I guess some people will never learn the lesson, that , yes, everything is possible. I found it very interesting , in view of the many calls just posted on ET with the top on S&P, and what not !