Just show me one mechanical technical analysis that has been profitably backtested?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by crgarcia, Dec 10, 2008.

  1. Bob111

    Bob111

    гавно вопрос-
     
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    #21     Dec 11, 2008
  2. Why dont you figure it out yourself you parasite.
     
    #22     Dec 11, 2008
  3. Ah what the heck, you can all have this one for free.

    LONG

    When the LOD precedes the HOD, buy the LOD and cover at HOD

    SHORT

    When HOD precedes LOD, sell HOD and cover at LOD

    A couple of timing issues relating to CME application.
    This strategy will leave you flat on saturday and sunday.
    See nothing is perfect.

    regards
    f9
     
    #23     Dec 11, 2008
  4. LOL NICE!
     
    #24     Dec 11, 2008
  5. Fishbird

    Fishbird

    Please be avare that us-stocks data is practically worthless for backteting because of false ticks.
    I accept stock backtest results only if they use market orders in and out.
    Limit or stop orders give dramatically different results compared to real trading.
    The ones buying at 10% below yesterdays close and selling next day have profit factors of 2 in bt and in real trading lose.

    My current system with market orders since 2000:
    - 710 trades
    - Profit factor: 2.68
    - max. DD 14%
    - annualised gain: 63%
    - wl score: 192
    - long only

    Ultra simple and not buying crashing stocks like most dippers do.
     
    #25     Dec 11, 2008
  6. We have been living between Arg and Brasil and traveling for several months each year (apart from this one)
    We are off this weekend to Panama, Puerto Vallarta for Xmas with LA amigos, Miami and back to Salvador for carnival, London and back in BA around May and back to Brasil.

    We like the latino lifestyle and the time zone is good.

    Where do you think is a better place to live.

    regards
    f9
     
    #26     Dec 11, 2008
  7. Bob111

    Bob111

    very true. real life and "academics" of back testing are very different. even results from going live on paper account(like one IB provide) and real fills can be very different. specially on stocks. picture from WL, i posted above, shows great performance,but in real life it's nearly impossible to get into good trade and of course the losers are all yours.
     
    #27     Dec 11, 2008

  8. It's a curve-fit, and not possible to trade. Show me the equity curve. If it's too smooth it peeks.
     
    #28     Dec 11, 2008
  9. You idiot. Do you really think I'd publish my best?
     
    #29     Dec 11, 2008
  10. You're out in the public domain, and we are referencing publicly available scripts. As far as I'm concerned, you're just blowing steam. I can code a perfect script with 100% accuracy and post the backtest, but how is anyone going to know if it's real and doesn't peek?

    You're just bullshiting without seeing the actual program.
     
    #30     Dec 11, 2008