just luck?

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by pcp198, Aug 17, 2011.

  1. pcp198

    pcp198

    <iframe width="425" height="349" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/gsLWtkmfwOc" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
     
  2. Lornz

    Lornz

    Oh yes, that definitely proves that it's not "luck"...
     
  3. pcp198

    pcp198

    turning $300 into 12.7K.. thats a 4200% return. Assuming the video was not staged, a win that big is about as likely as winning the lottery or deciding to put your life savings in penny stocks in Feb. 09.:)
     
  4. Lornz

    Lornz

    The guy walks in half drunk and bets $300 on his "favorite number" (the magical 15) and pockets a quick 35 to 1. In a drunken haze he fumbles around with some "outside bets" (even/odd, e.g.) before proceeding to call his wife to have pick him up.

    In an epiphanic state he proclaims that he has conquered the mythical ways of the "spinning wheel": "Hey, babe. If I only bet $300 on my favorite number each (and every) day, we can be rich! Like for sure!"

    They both rejoice!

    If you can illuminate how this one incident bears any significance, I'll suck your toes...
     
  5. pcp198

    pcp198

    Drunk? you can't count money like that when your buzzed, + it took him about 5 hours of bets to win all of it, according to your theory he would've been done in about 15 minutes.
    The guy walked in there, followed his system and made a killing.. Now i'm not suggesting his system will work long term, but betting systems that are based on limited martingale and limited reverse martingale can work very well in the short - mid term.

    I'm gonna go with no on that, unless you happen to be her.
     
  6. Lornz

    Lornz

    Yes, martingale beats roulette.. I mean, it's blatantly obvious that roulette is game that easily can be rigged to the player's advantage by using a particular betting strategy. Why on earth wouldn't that be the case?

    I mean, it's far more clever to use strategies like that in information-based games like roulette - than it is to dabble in those highly unpredictable ones like sports/horse betting or financial markets. Now that would really be stupid... I've heard the liquidity is far greater in roulette also...

    You better watch what you say about my ex-girlfriend, btw...
     
  7. pcp198

    pcp198

    UPDATE: The winnings were staged (surprise).
    It looked real, I still believe the cash was real, but odds dont lie, a betting system cant destroy the house edge on roulette. At the time I thought he may have gotten lucky using a complex version of martingale for a short term winning streak.. I was wrong. It turned out to be the first in a series of well planned videos shot outside well known casinos in AC and Vegas. You dont see bets placed, only video of him walking to his rental car or hotel room, wads of cash in hand from his roulette system. Fun to watch though :)

    <iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/cRmrM2zOQjA" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

    <iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/O5RYR6LGIAg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
     
  8. Can you summarize what happened my audio is out temporarily