Just a flu bro...literally

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Daxtrader, Apr 18, 2020.

  1. Me watching the modeling experts, political pundits and talking heads ramble on. experts.jpg
     
    #301     May 12, 2020
    Dr. Love and gwb-trading like this.
  2. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    The White House Advisor Whose Model Predicted Zero Deaths by Mid-May Now Says It's “Scary" to Go to Work
    Multiple coronavirus cases are cropping up in the White House, enraging Trump even while he pushes for social distancing to end.
    https://www.gq.com/story/white-house-advisor-scared

    This is a momentous week in the fight against the coronavirus. According to White House senior adviser Kevin Hassett's model, there will be zero deaths in the U.S. from the disease by May 15. The Trump administration has reportedly been relying on Hassett's predictive model, among others, to make determinations on reopening. Hassett isn't an epidemiologist, nor does he have a background in public health. He's an economist and formerly served as the chair for the Council of Economic Advisers to the president. And, as he told CBS's Face the Nation Sunday, the pandemic has him scared to go enter the White House.

    "It is scary to go to work," he said, adding, "I think that I'd be a lot safer if I was sitting at home instead of going to the West Wing. But, you know, it's a time when people have to step up and serve their country." Hassett also said that he practices "aggressive social distancing" and will "wear a mask when I feel it's necessary."

    Hassett's predictive model may leave a lot to be desired—Nate Silver believes that he arrived at it by using a stock Excel spreadsheet function—but it's wise of him to wear a mask, since the White House is on its way to becoming a coronavirus hotspot. Katie Miller, Mike Pence's press secretary and the wife of White House adviser Stephen Miller, tested positive for the virus late last week. That news came out shortly after Pence met in person with several food company CEOs. Not only did Pence not wear a mask but the executives who were wearing them were forced to remove them as the meeting started.

    (More at above url)
     
    #302     May 12, 2020
    Frederick Foresight likes this.
  3. Those kangaroos look politically motivated. I'd go with the dispassionate, scientific models.
     
    #303     May 12, 2020
    CaptainObvious likes this.
  4. jem

    jem

    Interesting in that I keep reading the fear mongers saying WH is predicting many more deaths.



     
    #304     May 12, 2020
  5. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao


    The guy is a tool. I've been going to work every day.
     
    #305     May 12, 2020
  6. Daxtrader

    Daxtrader

    Flatten the curve has now turned into no new cases.
     
    #306     May 12, 2020
    traderob and jem like this.
  7. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    The criteria for re-opening is 14 days of declining case — not no new cases.
     
    #307     May 12, 2020
  8. jem

    jem

    not everyone's...
    And, considering were doing progressively more testing, that is a pretty suspect filter.

     
    #308     May 12, 2020
  9. Bugenhagen

    Bugenhagen

    https://www.bbc.com/news/health-52623141

    The number of people who have died because of Covid-19 is nearly twice as high as the figure we hear announced every day.

    By 1 May, the number of coronavirus deaths announced by the UK government was just over 28,000.

    Looking back at death registrations filed then, the figure is higher: just over 36,000 death certificates mentioned Covid-19.

    The measure preferred by statisticians, counting all deaths above what would be expected, was even higher: more than 50,000.

    _112241535_optimised-uk_mortality_v_average11may-nc.png
     
    #309     May 12, 2020
  10. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Of course we are watching an absurd number prescriptions being written for hydroxychloroquine in most countries plus an entire network of underground non-prescription hydroxychloroquine distribution. The entire situation is absurd since nearly every proper study shows hydroxychloroquine has no medical benefit in treating COVID-19.

    Hydroxychloroquine–Number Of Prescriptions Explodes In France
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/alexle...umber-of-prescriptions-explode-in-france/amp/

    Despite the warnings around taking hydroxychloroquine to combat the symptoms of COVID-19, prescriptions in France have increased by as much as 7,000% in certain parts of the country since the pandemic began.

    As reported by La Provence, a study looking at the 466 million French prescriptions written since the pandemic began in France, show a huge spike in doctors prescribing the drug. In the last week of March, for instance, over 10,000 people were prescribed hydroxychloroquine in Marseille alone.

    (More at above url)
     
    #310     May 13, 2020