JPY at end of trend?

Discussion in 'Forex' started by JSSPMK, Sep 8, 2010.

  1. BOJ cuts overnight call rate range to 0.0%-0.1%...
     
    #61     Oct 5, 2010
  2. JSSPMK

    JSSPMK

    Thank you BOJ, now banks are picking up on a possible reversal on technical grounds.
     
    #62     Oct 5, 2010
  3. Why is the yen getting stronger? Scratching my head here.

    Is there a black hole somewhere that I don't know about?
     
    #63     Oct 5, 2010
  4. JSSPMK

    JSSPMK

    Partly because Chinese are selling USD relentlessly & buying Yen to weaken Japanese export industry.
     
    #64     Oct 5, 2010
  5. Well if thta's the case WTF is the japanese goverment doing then?

    If that was me -- I'd be selling the shit out of it. Why havn't they stepped back in?

     
    #65     Oct 5, 2010
  6. I'm not sure I understand this...

    The Japanese weakened the yen overnight, which made the dollar take a dive... shouldn't the dollar strengthen when the yen is weaker?
     
    #66     Oct 5, 2010
  7. #67     Oct 5, 2010
  8. JSSPMK

    JSSPMK

    * Euro (EUR), 57.6% weight
    * Pound sterling (GBP), 11.9% weight
    * Canadian dollar (CAD), 9.1% weight
    * Swedish krona (SEK), 4.2% weight and
    * Swiss franc (CHF) 3.6% weight.
    * Japanese Yen (JPY) 13.6% weight.

    As you can see Yen being only 13% of basket total will only play a big part when it weakens substantially. It was Euro & other currencies that rallied & made DX slip.
     
    #68     Oct 5, 2010
  9. 89 % of retail traders are long USD/JPY. Ouch ! This cries for further USD/JPY losses...

    I think the sponsor of this forum ( FXCM ) is not objecting that I post this very interesting picture :


    [​IMG]

    Source : https://plus.dailyfx.com/tnews/index.jsp?ib=fxcm&lang=en

    *No warranties or guarantees are made with respect to the content contained herein. The website and the guests on this site do not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. The advice and trading ideas provided on this website are for informational purposes only and are not intended as a trading ideas. Under no circumstances does any advice or trading idea contained herein constitute a solicitation to buy and sell currencies. We do not endorse and cannot vouch for any of the guest traders on this site.

    USDJPY - The ratio of long to short positions in the USDJPY stands at 8.15 as nearly 89% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 8.45 as 89% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 2.3% higher than yesterday and 18.4% stronger since last week. Short positions are 6.0% higher than yesterday and 25.1% weaker since last week. Open interest is 2.7% stronger than yesterday and 12.4% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more USDJPY losses.

    :D :D :D
     
    #69     Oct 6, 2010
  10. blnbr

    blnbr

    I was just wondering how many traders were going long the U/J. That sounds a very bad news for the U/J bulls. Is the source reliable :confused:
     
    #70     Oct 6, 2010