Journal of a 90% win rate trader

Discussion in 'Journals' started by PhoneticNachos, Dec 19, 2021.


  1. Yeah, fair points, some of those smaller trades I close out of to reposition the capital into something else, I would just rather have them be up at least a little bit, wouldn't you? ;)

    A lot of the small trades are me trading in the morning/afternoon while I am working, so if I don't get a quick profit, I want to get out of the pair quickly.

    I recognize that letting winning trades run is something I need to improve upon, this is actually what I am setting up over the next few weeks with some of the trades I have open, wanting to get in a big profit on some that I am short on, and just leave them alone for a month or more.

    Ideally this would gain $3-6k+ profits from the $2-3k I end up using for the trades.

    At the end of the day, win rate, RR are all just parts of a trader's system. Don't want to focus on things that can get you thinking in the wrong direction.
     
    #71     Sep 3, 2022
  2. NoahA

    NoahA

    For the record, I don't think there is anything wrong with the way you manage trades. But if it sounds like you're winning 95%, then you have to wonder why not bet 25% of the account on every single trade. With such a high win rate, you can't lose!

    But of course deep down you know that the win rate isn't nearly as high because you are exiting a trade that is going nowhere, and even though you get lucky to exit with just a tiny profit vs. a loss, you might not always be so lucky.

    One of the things I've noticed is that when you do things with a small account, and build habits, but then you would never do this with a bigger account, practicing that type of behavior over and over isn't really a good habit. For example, if I'm trading the SP500, and I do so with 1 micro lot, I might be reckless, let it go 20 points against me, average in, and be happy when I get a break even exit almost every time if I don't get a winner right away. But if all of a sudden you're trading 1 ES or 5 ES, and you start to realize that you no longer have the stomach for letting it go against you so far, you quickly see your win rate drop and your system falls apart.

    If you're hoping for 3-6k profits from 2-3k capital, can you really trade this in such a way that you will hope for 300k-600k profits from 200-300k capital? I bet that something here will break. At the small end, you might not want to take only a $100 winner, cause its too small, so you hold. But with the much bigger account, a 10k profit now looks juicy, even though the percentage gain is the same, but by taking this smaller profit, you're totally messing with your stats.
     
    #72     Sep 3, 2022
  3. easymon1

    easymon1

    Me too.
    Which reddit stuff do you like?
     
    #73     Sep 3, 2022
  4. Will have see how things go over time, I am looking forward to continued growth and learning.
     
    #74     Sep 3, 2022
  5. Finance type subreddits
     
    #75     Sep 3, 2022
  6. easymon1

    easymon1

    Name a couple?
     
    #76     Sep 3, 2022
  7. forex
    investing
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    creditcards
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    commercialrealestate
    cfp
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    coaching
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    buyitforlife
    backseatinvestor
    anticonsumption
     
    #77     Sep 4, 2022
  8. easymon1

    easymon1

    post links to a couple?
     
    #78     Sep 4, 2022
  9. look up lol
     
    #79     Sep 4, 2022
  10. easymon1

    easymon1

    You ain't even got it together enough to post one link next time you check em?
    You quite the little helper. lol
     
    #80     Sep 4, 2022