Joining the CME gang

Discussion in 'Journals' started by hilmy83, Jul 17, 2019.

  1. hilmy83

    hilmy83

    the micros with exception of the MES, is a bit off in terms price to profit unlike the minis

    i did some calculation and it takes 2 ticks to net profit in micros vs jsut 1 tick in minis..
     
    #11     Jul 17, 2019
    murray t turtle likes this.
  2. %%
    Actually, an extrovert [ people person]would enjoy sharing that[lives stream/people person].
    I'm an introvert myself, i never would have first shared a 200 day moving average, but since William O'Neill did that-who am i to argue with him??

    And it sounds like hilmy83 is simply not cut out to work for someone else; same here/with me. .An extrovert will also do stuff like this pattern. A TN farmer , past week put out a sign, on a major TN hiWay ''free okra'' + '' free sunflowers, no limit'' And he left several knives in a bucket to aid cutting- i know 'cause i loaded up sunflowers/birdfeed. Dont like okra myself,LOL:D:D, :D:D:D:D:D:D
     
    #12     Jul 17, 2019
    Nobert likes this.
  3. hilmy83

    hilmy83

    So here's my performance so far. Just a daily grind. I'm a big believe that you need to make money 90% of the trading days. Is that grounded or logical..i don't know and don't give a shit. If I can't do it, i'll just give up and focus on my career.

    But for now I am grinding slowly (as opposed to trading like a lunatic in prior years).


    pnl.JPG

    My method of trading is trading around the vwap. I like using it cause like a moving average it gives me indication of what the market is doing (trending? ranging?). But unlike a moving average, it filters out noise because the volume variable makes it more "stable" and less susceptible to fakeouts. Plus i've read in different places that a lot of algos use this indicator so why not align your strategy with what's used by the bots.

    So I trade the NQ on two separate sessions.
    Asian 9pm-3am
    US 9am-3pm (my livestream usually starts at 8:55)
    I don't trade the whole damn session of course. Just when it tends to grind i trade up to that. On average 3-5 trades a day

    So at the start, if the prices is above the vwap consistently (or just bounces) i take one bias only. If it crosses over or the price beyond it without making new highs/lows, i treat it like a range market and fade. Simple as that. So my strategy is a fusion of trend/breakout with fade. Usually my failed fade setups turn to breakout/trend if the price pattern looks right (no crazy crosses around vwap.

    I use "support/resistance zones" on the 5 minute. I also include the highs/lows of today and yesterday and today's open as reference points. for example If price is way out beyond open or yesterday high/low, then no need to be a smart ass and try to fade that move..just go with the flow.

    So that's it. It's mechanical enough for me to follow it and flexible enough that I think it can withstand all if not most market conditions.

    I mean the PnL says i'm doing something right..so we'll see.
     
    #13     Jul 17, 2019
  4. REDP1800

    REDP1800

    good trading. i havent seen youryoutube but so far so good. I woouldn't waste all that time and energy leasing a seat. if you look right now you can get much better rates but like anything in life you will have to ask for it. also you could link up with a prop firm b4 leasing a seat to get much lower rates almost as low as leasing and they will front you some cash.
     
    #14     Jul 17, 2019
  5. REDP1800

    REDP1800

    i traded the micros.. did roughly 200 in a day and realized what you said.. very tough to get up and above if hft trading. they also got me to start adding to lots of losers and averaging into trades a lot more whihc wa 50/50 good and bad.
     
    #15     Jul 17, 2019
  6. Overnight

    Overnight

    (Looks very familiar.)

    Nice, keep it up. But don't get too cocky in your trading attitude.

    Else this shit happens...

    https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/and-they-have-a-plan-live.306838/

    I thought I knew the markets when I hit 50K profits. Then, the market told me something I needed to hear...Which is that I know NOTHING.

    (And forget the leasing the seat thing. There's no NEED for it. If your system is that good, just scale up a little, and learn what the seat actually is and what it means for you, and why you do know NEED it? I see your statements. You are NOT pushing out monthly volume that would beckon you to a seat discount.)
     
    #16     Jul 17, 2019
    alfa8 and REDP1800 like this.
  7. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks


    It's great to see someone actually running the numbers to determine the best path based on real trading!!

    BUT, you left out one thang... In addition to increased data fees and seat lease costs, leasing a seat triggers SE tax (in the USA) totaling 15.3%, 12.4% Social Security Tax(only on the first 132.9K of earnings) and 2.9% Medicaid Tax with no limit.

    Given that, you might consider costs (and benefits) of trading through an entity where you can financially engineer income, company benefits, deductions, and associated tax consequences.

    Nice work. Good trading to you.
     
    #17     Jul 17, 2019
    wrbtrader likes this.
  8. REDP1800

    REDP1800

    reeally looking forward to seeing your statement from today and tonight you should be killing it!! probably doubled your account
     
    #18     Jul 17, 2019
  9. alfa8

    alfa8

    nice work, subscribed!
    AD
     
    #19     Jul 18, 2019
  10. hilmy83

    hilmy83

    i'm not going for the seat until i get to 150k trading 3-12 contracts. At that point, it's worth it, even if it's just a few hundred/month savings (net monthly fees). few hundred is few thousands in a year. In my houseshold, if i can realize that kind of saving in anything, i'd go for it.

    But there was one thing i didn't think about which tiddlywinks brought up

    This is something i need to look into. I mean unless you're a certified cpa and has expertise in this shit, i'd rather not just dismiss somethign based on online forum post lol. i need to weigh in the savings vs tax advantages/disadvantages. Maybe i'll hit up the green trader guy or something..but thanks for letting me know

    Anyway, tomorrow, i'll do a stream. My stream is always in US session. If i'm feeling talkative, i'll narrate somethin' somethin'. otherwise, it's a silent movie...just enjoy the "action" ha
     
    #20     Jul 18, 2019
    murray t turtle likes this.