Johnny Rock's comeback

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by johnnyrock, Jul 20, 2017.

  1. johnnyrock

    johnnyrock

    Checking out the @Hedge Fund Killer journal!

    It's definitely worth a look as he shares strategy, insight and experience!

    If that's the new standard at ET, I may have to shut this journal down. Let's see how many other successful traders will step up and follow his lead. :thumbsup:
     
    #671     May 3, 2018
    HobbyTrading likes this.
  2. Thank you for that recommendation. I've subscribed to his journal.
     
    #672     May 3, 2018
    johnnyrock likes this.
  3. johnnyrock

    johnnyrock

    Your welcome.
     
    #673     May 3, 2018
  4. johnnyrock

    johnnyrock

    TSLA Swing Triggered:
    30'tsla4.png tsla4.png daily4.png 30'4.png
    • 3bt was setting up on TSLA but reversed before iy triggered (for illustrative purposes only since this was a swing trade)
    • Actually, the first three bars printed a 3bt that did trigger and would have produced a day trade loss
     
    #674     May 3, 2018
  5. johnnyrock

    johnnyrock

    Peace in the New Millenium:

    Millenials are known for having the Peter Pan Syndrome. Like me, Johnny Rock, they are known for being lazy, narcissistic and jumping from job to job!

    Does this sound like anyone else we know? A graduate from Wharton, a real estate developer, a reality TV star, a politician of the highest order who only started that career in the sunset of his life? Talk about jumping from job to job!

    Millenials grew up being rewarded for minimal accomplishments. They are known as Trophy Kids!

    Our President has Trophy Wives and rewards himself for the accomplishments of others, or worse, accomplishments that never happened.

    Millenialls are the me, me, me generation. Sound like anyone else we know? Could be me or the President.

    Millenialls are coddled and delusional! Much like me and the Prez!

    Millenialls are materialistic, self absorbed and could care less about helping society at large. Research backs this up! Once again, we could be talking about me or the Prez.

    Well, let me tell you something. Humans adapt! We evolve! However, from those of us from the narcisstics ilk, we will be fine in this new American society. As "normal" people, with good hearts and a propensity to help their neighbor, continue to lament about the good old days, society will leave them in the dust. Those days are gone. Help your neighbor? No! Help yourself!

    Make America Great Again! Remember when men only cared about themselves? Fuck their wives and their kids. Fuck black people. Fuck poor white people. Fuck anyone who wasn't wearing a WASP jersey. White Anglo Protestants. No, really, that's how it was not so long ago. That's how it is again.

    Before you think tjay America has entered into a devilish decline, keep your head up.

    This "new" American attitude has opened a new space for Uncle Toms and World Peace!

    If you don't believe me, look at North Korea. It took a Peter Pan President to deal with the Millenial Leader of North Korea.

    I nominate the following people for the Nobel Peace Prize: Dennis Rodman, President Trump, Kim Jong Un and narcissists everywhere! It was only when the adults were cleared from the room that "kids" could do as kids do; throw tantrums, have cock offs, call each other names. Most of all, they did what kids do! They make up. Become friends. And get back to thinking of themselves.

    Who knows? This Trump thing might work out after all.
     
    #675     May 4, 2018
  6. johnnyrock

    johnnyrock

    This week we have a panel of distinguished talk radio hosts: Larry Elder, Alex Jones and Michael Medved.

    ***

    JR: Welcome panel. First of all I want to thank Alex the Great for his return. You are definitely a boost to the ratings.

    LE: Hold on! I am the Great Eldersky!!

    MM: Not according to your ratings.

    AJ: Mikey 1, Tom 0.

    LE: Alex, please call me Uncle.

    JR: Settle down folks. We are just getting started. Larry, what do you think about Alex calling you an Uncle Tom?

    LE: The fields are hot! I would much rather work in the house.

    JR: You said it. Not me. Thank you for your candor.

    AJ: Right now we have a special on Alpha Power. When I started I had a six inch stroke. Three months later and my stroke is a solid nine.

    LE: Boy, I had nine inches in the seventh grade.

    AJ: 50% off. Free shipping. If you sign up for monthly delivery we will give you an additional 10% off.

    MM: Since we are promoting can I have a minute to talk about Food for the Poor?

    LE: If we let Trump be King of the World, poverty will be wiped out! Tell those lazy fucks to get a job.

    AJ: Don't give them fish. Teach them how!

    MM: Guys, please. These people live in a shithole country. The water will kill you.

    AJ: Michigan?

    JR: Guys, settle down. Let's talk about tax policy and the economy.

    LE: Johnny, there hasn't been this many black people working since slavery!

    JR: An advertiser just dropped. Please Larry. Settle down.

    LE: I am just excited. Trumps tax cuts give me a raging hard on.

    JR: Stay seated then. And please quit tapping the table. It's distracting.

    LE: My hands are folded. What do you mean?

    AJ: That's me Johnny. This Alpha Power has me going.

    JR: I can see your hands. That's impossible.

    AJ: Told you I had a nine inch stroke!

    JR: Sign me up for the monthly plan.

    MM: I would like to weigh in. You guys act like a bunch of kids.

    JR: Do you have a movie to review?

    MM: Actually I do.

    [Alex interrupts]

    AJ: We are not here to talk about a bunch of devil worshipping pedophiles.

    JR: Catholics?

    MM: Johnny. I am ashamed of you. I regret coming on your show.

    JR: Me too Michael. I want to thank our panel for showing up today. My apologies for the offensive humor.

    LE: Are you apologizing for calling me an Uncle Tom?

    JR: Nope. That part was true! Thanks again for tuning into the Johnny Rock show.
     
    #676     May 4, 2018
  7. johnnyrock

    johnnyrock

    Screenshot_20180505-081313.png Kentucky Derby:
    • Exacta Box
    • Top 3 picks
     
    #677     May 5, 2018
  8. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/mattry...of-handicapping-in-horse-racing/#79211a5c3fa1

    2018 Kentucky Derby: How Analytics Are Transforming The Art Of Handicapping In Horse Racing

    With isolated to scattered thunderstorms forecast and the threat of heavy rain on Saturday in Louisville, sharp bettors could be scrambling to make last-minute adjustments with their superfecta part-wheels as they pursue a hefty payout at the 144th Kentucky Derby.

    Poor weather has hampered racing conditions in two of the previous five Derbies, contributing to a thick, muddy track at Churchill Downs in victories by Orb in 2013 and Always Dreaming last May. Whereas an approaching low-pressure system may have created panic for bettors in the past, racing enthusiasts are now relying on statistical tools that help them prepare for certain track changes and a litany of other factors that may impact the outcome of a race.

    As analytics continue to alter the professional sports landscape, horse racing is the latest to use advanced statistical modeling to help guide a bettor's decision-making process. Two platforms in particular, OptixEQ and STATS Race Lens, may have the ability to modernize handicapping, a practice that predates the Derby itself.

    Launched in August 2016, STATS Race Lens combines predictive modeling with other features such as conditional formatting and handicapping back-testing to assist bettors in sifting through a mountain of data before a race.

    Take the weather forecasts for Saturday's Run For The Roses, for instance. STATS True Odds uses predictive algorithms developed by STATS LLC in an attempt to determine how a race will unfold. The tool gives handicappers the option of weighing a multitude of factors — speed, class, jockey, trainer, pace and track conditions, etc. — when trying to predict the race. A bettor who expects the weather to play a large role can assign a high probability factor to the conditions of the track while giving less weight to considerations such as a jockey's win percentage at Churchill Downs.

    From there, the platform compares the live odds for each horse in the field with their adjusted true odds when the factors are taken into account. At the Derby, Enticed may go off at odds as high as 30-1 but could see his adjusted true odds drop to somewhere around 15-1 depending on the win probability factors selected by the user. If bettors can spot such overlays, their chances of hitting a live long shot could increase exponentially.

    By the same token, if handicappers are worried by Justify's ability to handle a large field, they can reflect those concerns in the probability weighting. In that case, Justify may go off as the post-time favorite at 9-2 but could have adjusted true odds from the handicapper of 6-1.

    The platform has done more than help bettors improve their overall win rates, said Craig Walker, a senior product development at TrackMaster, a subsidiary of Equibase. In many cases, the tool has enabled handicappers to reduce the number of hours spent on breaking down a card by as much as half, he explained. In February 2017, Equibase and Xpressbet announced a strategic initiative to offer STATS Race Lens on Xpressbet's wagering platform.

    OptixEQ, meanwhile, attempts to strip out extraneous information that may trip up a handicapper in formulating a bet while placing a greater emphasis on factors that directly impact a horse, like pace setup and positioning at key points of a race.

    In 2010, OptixEQ founder John Doyle left a position as an account executive at IBM to pursue a career in handicapping. Months later, Doyle rallied on the final day of the National Handicapping Contest to capture the tournament and a $500,000 grand prize.

    "The whole thing that is going on in sports today is that the analytics guys are fighting the guys who have been scouting their whole life," Doyle said. "I think there is a combination; that's what we try to focus on."

    The company's OptixPLOT analytics examines each horse in a given race, relative to the rest of the field. The horses are divided into four quadrants, representing their expected pace, running style and positioning for the race. Since the inception of OptixEQ, the winner of the Kentucky Derby has typically come out of Quadrant I, which contains forwardly placed speed horses. Nearly half the field in this year's Derby is located in Quadrant I, including Justify, Audible and Good Magic. Although it is less common to see an off-the-pace horse from Quadrant II and Quadrant IV prevail in the first leg of the Triple Crown, Doyle noted that horses like Commanding Curve and Lookin At Lee have rallied to place in recent years.

    Before the digitalization of horse race betting, picking winners used to be considered an art form in which racing aficionados would specialize as either speed or class handicappers, said NTRA chief operating officer Keith Chamblin. On the contrary, the most successful handicappers today are more steeped in analytics and technological advances, he added.

    "Many of them don't even look at the physical horse, just the output of their algorithm," Chamblin said.

    Chamblin views the evolution of analytics in horse betting as one that the racing industry is trying to nurture properly.

    "Racing produces more data than probably any other sport, and there is so much to dive into for those that are inclined," Chamblin said. "If it encourages more wagering and attracts new customers, then as long as it's being done fairly, we welcome this style of play."
     
    #678     May 5, 2018
    johnnyrock likes this.
  9. Johnny Rock, your avatar face and name sounds like it will have more success being a horse betting guru/analyst...rather then a financial market one.

    You won $500 with horses, have you ever won $500 before in the market?
    Kentucky Derby ET Johnny Rock 2018, o_O Spooz Top 2 would make a great racing horse name. ET'ers pick the best horse racing names.
     
    Last edited: May 5, 2018
    #679     May 5, 2018
  10. johnnyrock

    johnnyrock

    Way more than $500. Real money. Real time. Real day trading! You should really start reading this journal from the beginning!

    Best day: 3 times I have made more than 4 grand in a single day on a single trade.

    Biggest losing day: 20 grand on one day trade. Followed up by a 5 grand loss the next day.

    Multiple $1,000 winners.

    So, anyway, isn't there a lactating lady at Wal Mart you need to beat off to when you are done drinking your tea?
     
    #680     May 5, 2018