Johnny, you seem like a good guy and a smart guy. This talk of bulls and bears and extraneous activity is largely irrelevant. It is the stuff of the old men who sit around in brokerages and watch the ticker crawl by and talk of "I bought this...shudda bought that.." etc. There is plenty of this on ET. Have a methodology that gives you a positive expectancy. If the market wants to go up, fine, ideally you want mostly but not necessarily exclusively long signals and vice versa. It's best not to care which way it wants to go and if you can, care as little as possible whether the next trades or series thereof work or not. The good trader is observant, disciplined and humble (not to be confused with lack of confidence..wholly different things). 14 years is a while but hardly a record. It takes what it takes. Most successful traders were once lousy traders.