Dividing the rep voters means nothing in CT as their numbers are extremely small. But Lieberman will lose the support of the dem party (H.Clinton, Edwards, Bayh, Kerry, Reid, Schumer and others are endorsing Lamont as we speak), he will lose the support of the unions which was conditional on his winning the primary, the money from lobbists will dry up pretty soon too and the "sore loser" meme will finish him off. At the end of the day the dems who voted for democrat Lieberman in the primary will be loyal to the party (not to Lieberman) and will vote for democrat Lamont in the general election.
Do you just make this shit up as you go along? CNN exit polls conducted in Connecticut the day of the 2004 election, yielded these results. Party Affiliation: Dem 37%, GOP, 30%, Independent, 33% Ideology was 26% liberal, 50% Moderate, 24% Conservative. Further, Connecticut is served by a Republican Governor and 3 of Connecticut's 5 congressmen are Republican. So how is that an "extremely small" representation of Connecticut Republicans. Looks very balanced to me.
Connecticut is one of the bluest states in the country. At any rate my point was that the republican candidate gets so few votes that splitting them with Lieberman is not going to make a difference: Lamont beats Schlesinger 45 - 22 percent Running as an independent, Lieberman gets 51 percent, to 27 percent for Lamont and 9 percent for Schlesinger. http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x11362.xml?ReleaseID=940 In this monthâs three-way match-up, Lamont and Lieberman each get 40% of the vote. The Republican, Alan Schlesinger, attracts just 13%. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State Polls/July 2006/connecticutSenateJuly.htm
I don't think Joe will run as an independent. Just watch. He may go through the motions, but come crunch time he won't run. Be interesting to see if the Dems throw him a bone or just plain threaten him.
He does not deserve a bone but he'll probably get it. I hope bush will make him Secretary of Defense though.
George Stephanopoulos: Can Karl help Joe? According to a close Lieberman adviser, the President's political guru, Karl Rove, has reached out to the Lieberman camp with a message straight from the Oval Office: "The boss wants to help. Whatever we can do, we will do." http://blogs.abcnews.com/theworldnewser/2006/08/george_stephano.html
Wesley Clark: You see, despite what Joe Lieberman believes, invading Iraq and diverting our attention away from Al Qaeda and Osama bin Laden is not being strong on national security. Blind allegiance to George W. Bush and his failed "stay the course" strategy is not being strong on national security. And no, Senator Lieberman, no matter how you demonize your opponents, there is no "antisecurity wing" of the Democratic Party. Rahm Emanuel: "This shows what blind loyalty to George Bush and being his love child means," said Representative Rahm Emanuel of Illinois, the head of the Democratic House Congressional campaign. "This is not about the war. It's blind loyalty to Bush."
Actually, Clinton endorsement would have won the election for Lieberman, had he not abandoned the GOTV effort at the last minute. Quoting from a blog: In other words, a place Lieberman was expected to win convincingly, he ended up losing by 4% due to poor GOTV efforts. Extrapolate that to the whole state, he would have made up more than the 52-48 difference. At the end, it was Lieberman's decision to go indy that costed him the primary. Ironic.