The other side of the coin? I agree with what you have stated. Look at the information YOU have available now in terms of charts, transparency, brokers etc.... People are struggling now, 2008? Livermore was a 'great'.
In spite of many ET wannabes who contend/hope that certain traders can consistently cream the market.... the fact is that the huge majority of trading decisions are 50-50 in probability of working out. Consider that for every buyer, there is an equally convinced seller (excluding market makers, of course). ONE party to the transaction is always wrong. And over a long time, it's difficult to be consistently on the winning side of a 50-50 proposition regardless of how clever you believe yourself to be.
What's the point, you've got your post in explaining everything, you carry on.... Are you uncertain of your view?
Come on, come on.. no weaseling out... if you're going to make statements like that, best be supporting them... otherwise there will be those who CALL BULLSHIT on you...
You think every quote is split 50:50 on the bid/ask between buyers and sellers? Now, can you explain YOUR bullsh!t?