Jeffrey Epstein suicide

Discussion in 'Politics' started by zdreg, Aug 10, 2019.

Were the clintons involved in Epstein's death?

  1. yes

    18 vote(s)
    75.0%
  2. No

    6 vote(s)
    25.0%
  1. DT-waw

    DT-waw

    This is a trading forum. Most of us know how to calculate probabilities.
    Let's approximate what are the statistical odds of Epstein committing suicide in MCC, while broking his hyoid bone , with cameras and guards off, as the official story is telling us - calculations will be based on public news and data. Lets assume the only scenarios are suicide and murder without taking into an account taking him out of the jail which will ruin odds for suicide even further.

    First of all the stats for breaking hyoid bone from suicide is about 6%.
    0.06 on the start.

    Number of deaths per 100,000 inmates - 38 (black white and hispanics).
    Source https://www.officer.com/command-hq/corrections/article/10227505/suicide-behind-bars
    Epstein was white, the stat for whites is 4x the blacks (64 vs 16 per 100k inmates).
    0.00064
    But wait, MCC is not your average shitty jail. Its the most secure, the best, filled with the most promiment and important folks. Last time suicide occured there 40 years ago. OK Sherlock, we can assume they fck up once every 40yrs.

    0.025

    Odds of suicide in MCC with hyoid bone breaking: 0.06 x 0.00064 x 0.025 = 0.00000096 or
    almost 1/10k of 1% , quite serious dont you think?

    What are the psychological chances of his suicide?
    The stats are:
    • 47% had a history of substance abuse.
    • 38% had a history of mental illness.
    • 34% had a history of suicidal behavior.
    • 28% had a history of medical problems.
    Epstein was not known for any of these. Lets take an average , 0.35 or about 0.65 odds that he could commit suicide without any psycho issues. However. Lets add the facts: (1) he was extremely rich with endless supply of the best lawyers , inlc. female lawyers, (2) previously got sweetheart deal, (3) he can easily pay other inmates to leave him alone (4) most probably he can pay for sex with good sweet girls 5 grand for one? That is "only" 10 million bucks for two thousand fucks. Thats more than $200/fck he paid back in his golden era, but WTF.

    On top of that he was a narcissist, thought of himself of nothing but pure genius.
    All in all, the chances of suicide due to psychological breakdown, go down to about 10% or 0.1.


    And now ladies and gentleman lets dive into some heavy stats.

    People are not commiting suicide just like that, out of the blue without any influence of others.
    There are reports that approx 50 close co-workers of our beloved powerful couple were dead.
    History tells us that people in position of power are able to kill even their own siblings, mothers and fathers. Happened thousands of times in history. Lets modestly say that each dead co-worker who had some dirty inside knowledge ... the odds of his natural/suicide death is 70%. The other 30% is murder. Sensible enough?

    Two people dead within the same orbit of people and similar scenario? 0.7 x 0.7 = 0.49 chance they both died naturally. All 50 people, who are not random, who are connected to the powerful marriage died naturally?
    0.7 ^ 50 = 0,0000000178 or 0,00000178 of 1%

    It does not end here. There are easily fifty powerful other people who wanted him dead. Assuming the chance of each of those people of murdering him while the cameras are off and guards are sleeping are only 30%, we have another 0,00000178 of 1% that they won't be able to murder him.

    GRAND TOTAL
    ODDS Epstein died by suicide
    1/10k of 1% multiplied by
    1/100k of 1% multiplied by
    1/100k of 1% multiplied by 10%
    =?
     
    #191     Aug 19, 2019
    AAAintheBeltway likes this.
  2. Yep. I know. Epstein's 15 minutes of fame has passed and the news cycle has moved on.

    Nevertheless.

    Arkancide anyone?

     
    #192     Oct 30, 2019
  3. The Doc should be careful, old guys like him have trip and fall "accidents" all the time.
     
    #193     Oct 30, 2019
  4. Bugenhagen

    Bugenhagen

    The evidence Donald Trump brutally raped a 13-year-old girl in 1994 when he was 48-years-old easily meets the police standard "investigatory credibility". Jeffrey Epstein had to go.

    Could be.

    All the court documents:
    http://thememoryhole2.org/blog/doe-v-trump
     
    Last edited: Oct 30, 2019
    #194     Oct 30, 2019
    Tony Stark and Spike Trader like this.

  5. That's right , many people are saying Epstein was offed by someone high up , the reason being that if the case was allowed to go to court , Trump's name would have come up numerous times associated with sexual assault and pedophilia.

    Barr was supposed to open an intensive investigation on Epstein's death . . . . . . ? . ?
     
    #195     Oct 30, 2019
    Tony Stark and Bugenhagen like this.
  6. Barr said that there would be a full investigation into the conduct of the department that led to/allowed the death Epstein, and he assigned it to the Inspector General to investigate just as he said he would.

    If he kept the investigation in house, you would be the first to argue that the results were influenced by Barr to cover up for Trump. Yes?
     
    #196     Oct 30, 2019
  7. Absurd nonsense. No one is saying that, except maybe some shills on MSNBC. There were lots of very prominent people involved with Epstein, eg British royals, Bill Gates, Bill Clinton et al.

    Clinton flew to his private island numerous times on Epstein's plane. Trump banned Epstein from Mar-a-Lago when he started his crap with some young girls who worked there.
     
    #197     Oct 30, 2019
  8. Bugenhagen

    Bugenhagen

    Ah it was 007.. nope, many had a motive, only one had the means and opportunity. I expect Rudy had pretty solid knowledge of that facility and the contacts needed to get Trump's bidding done but could have been many (more serious) "patriots" helping the president.

    Trump allowed him get away with it until the DAUGHTER OF A MEMBER was targeted and rich enough to hurt him parents complained.

    Pedos are always narcissists, it is like the law of gravity. Trump has always lusted after young girls.

    Metropolitan Correctional Center is a FEDERAL prison. Being the POTUS is to be a murderer with life and death decisions made, many have said this. Trump embraced it vocally quite early, 85,000 babies dead from artificial famine for a start, one little death would not bother him.
     
    Last edited: Oct 30, 2019
    #198     Oct 30, 2019
    Tony Stark likes this.
  9. UsualName

    UsualName

    Sometimes a sick pedo rapist just kills himself in jail without a coverup or assassination.
     
    #199     Oct 30, 2019
  10. Bugenhagen

    Bugenhagen

    Sometimes, though the right wing spin machine on Fox is trying to give the tinfoil hats cause to think it was the Clintons. So turnaround is fair play.

    Though in this case, some irregularities are genuinely conspicuous.
     
    Last edited: Oct 30, 2019
    #200     Oct 30, 2019